Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KEWX 262054
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
254 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY ENTERING THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
CWA...WILL SHIFT WINDS TO THE NORTH AND RE-ENFORCE THE DRY REGIME
WE HAVE BEEN IN OVER THE LAST COUPLE DAYS. SHOULD MAINTAIN CLEAR
SKIES TONIGHT AND LIGHT NORTH WINDS WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO
DROP TO THE LOWER TO MID 30S IN THE HILL COUNTRY.

THANKSGIVING DAY SHOULD BE A NICE ONE...OTHER THAN THE CHILLY
START. CLEAR SKIES WILL WARM THE DAY NICELY INTO THE MID TO UPPER
60S. THE EASTERN COMPONENT OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL RETURN BUT
NOT UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING SO MAY SEE SOME CLOUDS IN THE SKY BY
THAT POINT...BUT THAT WILL BE EAST OF THE I35 CORRIDOR.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
WITH THE CURRENT SHORTWAVE FEATURE OVER THE NORTHERN MS RIVER
VALLEY EXITING EAST AND HIGH H5 PRESSURE SOUTHWEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA WEAKENING...A QUAZI ZONAL H5 PATTERN WILL TAKE SHAPE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE NEXT TROUGH ORIGINATING FROM THE PACIFIC
NW WILL ATTEMPT TO EJECT A COLD FRONT INTO CENTRAL TEXAS BY MONDAY
NIGHT. THE GFS IS A BIT STRONGER WITH THE COLD AIR MASS SPREADING
FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDWEST. STRONG
ENOUGH THAT THE FRONT PUSHES AS FAR SOUTH AS CORPUS CHRISTI.
MODELS DO DEVELOP SOME QPF WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE MONDAY NIGHT
SO SLIGHT POPS SHOULD DO FOR NOW. THE EFFECTS OF THE FRONT WILL BE
BRIEF AS RETURN REDEVELOPS QUICKLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY IN
ADVANCE OF A H5 SHORTWAVE TRAVERSING THE ROCKIES. THAT SHOULD PUSH
ANOTHER...STRONGER COLD FRONT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY BUT SIGNIFICANT
MODEL DISCREPANCIES EXIST BETWEEN LONG RANGE MODEL DEPICTIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  64  42  71  54 /   0   0   0  -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  37  63  40  71  54 /   0   0   0  -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     40  65  42  72  52 /   0   0   0  -    0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            36  61  40  69  50 /   0   0   0  -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           38  66  43  69  45 /   0   0   0  -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        36  61  40  70  52 /   0   0   0  -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             36  65  41  69  47 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        38  64  41  72  53 /   0   0   0  -    0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   40  64  43  71  57 /   0   0   0  -   10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       41  65  44  70  53 /   0   0   0  -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           41  66  44  71  52 /   0   0   0  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...15
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...03
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...32




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.