Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 272056
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
256 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
THE FIRST ROUND OF THIS MULTI-PART WEATHER EVENT IS STARTING TO
WIND DOWN. THROUGH MIDNIGHT...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL SHOULD BE
RESTRICTED TO THE SOUTHERN THIRD OR SO OF OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS. THINGS BEGIN TO TURN VERY COMPLICATED TOMORROW...AS
HIGHER TEMPERATURES START TO ADVANCE NORTH. THIS WILL...OVER THE
COURSE OF THE WEEKEND...TURN THE SNOW TO SLEET...FREEZING
RAIN...AND THEN RAIN...WITH VARIOUS COMBINATIONS THEREOF DURING
THE TRANSITION PERIOD.

THE PREVIOUSLY-ISSUED ADVISORIES APPEAR TO MAKE SENSE FOR THE
REST OF TODAY/THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THE EVENING SHIFT WILL NEED
TO TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATION POTENTIAL
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS. THIS MAY REQUIRE AN EXTENSION OF OUR CURRENT ADVISORY FOR
THAT AREA.

THE MAIN BRUNT OF THE NEXT UPPER-LEVEL WAVE SHOULD AFFECT THE
NORTHERN TWO ROWS OF COUNTIES IN OKLAHOMA TOMORROW. SNOWFALL
SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO WARRANT THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THAT
WILL BE NEW WITH THIS FORECAST UPDATE.

FREEZING RAIN WILL PROBABLY REQUIRE ADDITIONAL ADVISORIES OVER THE
WEEKEND...BUT UNCERTAINTY IN TIMING AND LOCATION PRECLUDE ISSUING
THEM NOW.

BY TUESDAY...MOST OF THE WINTER WEATHER WILL TEMPORARILY MAKE WAY
FOR A SPRINGLIKE DAY...COMPLETE WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OR SO OF OKLAHOMA. AT THIS
TIME...SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS TO BE UNLIKELY.

IN KEEPING WITH THE THEME OF WILD EXTREMES OF WEATHER...ANOTHER
STRONG COLD FRONT IS SCHEDULED TO ARRIVE TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...AND LATE TUESDAY EVENING IN THE SOUTHEAST.
SOME LIGHT SNOW OR OTHER FREEZING/FROZEN PRECIPITATION WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM...BUT IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A
SIGNIFICANT EVENT. AND...BY THE END OF THE WEEK...TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REBOUND TO A FEW DEGREES BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  19  32  30  44 /  30  60  40  40
HOBART OK         17  30  28  45 /  40  50  40  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  20  31  29  47 /  40  50  40  40
GAGE OK           14  30  26  39 /  40  70  30  20
PONCA CITY OK     17  30  28  41 /  20  80  60  40
DURANT OK         22  34  32  45 /  50  50  40  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR OKZ004-
     009>036-038-040>043.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR
     OKZ004>013.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR OKZ037-
     039-044>048-050>052.

TX...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR
     TXZ084>090.

&&

$$

04/23


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