Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 281700
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1100 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUR UPPER TROUGH MAKING
STEADY PROGRESS INTO W TX...WITH A RICH SUBTROPICAL FEED
CONTINUING AHEAD OF THE TROUGH FROM THE SERN PACIFIC. THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY HAS NOW PUSHED INTO
THE NRN GULF AND THE EXTREME SE LA COASTAL PARISHES...WITH A LARGE
AREA OF POST-FRONTAL RAINS EXTENDING BACK INTO THE TX HILL
COUNTRY. ADDITIONAL REDEVELOPMENT HAS OCCURRED SINCE DAYBREAK
FARTHER W TOWARDS KILLEEN AND COMANCHE...WITH THIS AREA NOW
SHOWING AN EWD SHIFT OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO IN ADVANCE OF THE
TROUGH. THE RAINS SHOULD FILL IN FARTHER NE INTO EXTREME SRN AR
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH DRY SLOTTING ALOFT IN ADVANCE OF THE TROUGH
NOT OCCURRING UNTIL THIS EVENING. THUS...HAVE EXPANDED
LIKELY/CATEGORICAL POPS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON A LITTLE FARTHER W
INTO E TX THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THESE RAINS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY
DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON/THIS EVENING AS THE PARENT TROUGH AXIS
MOVES THROUGH.

GIVEN THE EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER...WET GROUNDS...AND RAIN LINGERING
A LITTLE LONGER THIS AFTERNOON...HAVE LOWERED MAX TEMPS A CATEGORY
OR SO...WITH ONLY VERY LITTLE CHANGE FROM THE 16-17Z OBS.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

ZONE UPDATE ALREADY OUT...GRIDS WILL BE AVAILABLE SHORTLY.

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&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  43  36  54  35  50 /  70  10  10   0   0
MLU  46  38  52  36  50 /  90  50  10   0   0
DEQ  43  29  51  31  45 /  10  10   0   0   0
TXK  43  33  50  32  48 /  30  10   0   0   0
ELD  43  33  50  32  49 /  60  10  10   0   0
TYR  42  32  56  36  47 /  50  10   0   0   0
GGG  42  32  54  36  49 /  60  10  10   0   0
LFK  43  36  57  38  53 /  90  20  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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