Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
533
FXUS64 KSHV 241154
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
654 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

.AVIATION...
For the 24/12z TAFs, a weakening convective complex is moving
eastward along the Red River between OK and TX east of I-35. Some
of these storms may affect terminals north of I-30 in
SE OK/NE TX/SW AR. Additional thunderstorm development is
possible during the afternoon hours mainly northwest of a line
from Lufkin, TX, to Prescott, AR. Any convection that does develop
should dissipate by early evening with the loss of daytime
heating.

Low stratus and patchy fog are leading to MVFR and IFR conditions
across much of the area south of I-20. Conditions should graduallyimprove
back into the VFR range by 24/15z. Moist southerly flow will
remain in place, which should allow another round of low stratus
and MVFR/IFR flight conditions to develop late in the TAF period.

/09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 223 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Synoptic pattern to remain fairly unchanged through much of the
forecast period. An upper-ridge currently across the region is
forecast to migrate east over the next couple of days. With that,
southwest flow aloft to bring increased moisture across the
region with partly to mostly cloudy skies expected through the
early part of next week.

Weak disturbances in southwest flow aloft to allow for a daily
chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the evening hours
and specifically across the western half of the county warning
area where thunderstorms developing along a dry-line across
central Texas migrate eastward.

An upper-low across Southern California to shift east bringing
increased chances of strong thunderstorms across portions of East
Texas, Southwest Arkansas, Southeast Oklahoma, and portions of
Northwest Louisiana on Friday evening. Drier conditions expected
through the weekend as weak upper-level ridging rebuilds across
the region. However, will maintain slight chance of afternoon showers
and thunderstorms through the remainder of the forecast period.

Otherwise,surface high pressure across the east coast to maintain
southerly flow throughout the forecast period with temperatures
ranging from highs in the 80s to lows around 70. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  88  72  87  73 /  20  20  20  10
MLU  89  70  89  72 /   0  10  10  10
DEQ  84  69  85  71 /  50  40  20  20
TXK  85  71  86  72 /  40  40  20  20
ELD  87  70  87  72 /  20  20  20  20
TYR  86  72  87  74 /  30  40  20  10
GGG  86  72  87  73 /  30  40  20  10
LFK  88  73  88  74 /  20  20  20  10

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

09



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.