National Weather Service Text Product Display

Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Versions: 1 2 3 4
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AXUS73 KMPX 232154
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MNZ049-054>058-064-065-073-240400-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
454 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013


...SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS RETREAT NOTICEABLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST
AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

...MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ALSO DECREASED OVER THE REGION...
CURRENTLY OBSERVED ONLY OVER WEST CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND A SMALL
PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

...MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS DISAPPEARED COMPLETELY OVER WEST
CENTRAL WISCONSIN...


SYNOPSIS...

DROUGHT CONDITIONS IMPROVED DRAMATICALLY DURING THE PAST MONTH
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL FELL
OVER WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
ROUGHLY EAST OF A LINE FROM LONG PRAIRIE TO WILLMAR TO WINDOM.
THIRTY DAY PRECIPITATION TOTALS IN THIS REGION GENERALLY VARIED
FROM THREE TO SIX INCHES...WITH PORTIONS OF EAU CLAIRE AND CHIPPEWA
COUNTIES EXPERIENCING BETWEEN 7 AND 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL. WEST
OF THE ABOVE LINE...PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WERE MAINLY IN THE ONE TO
THREE INCH RANGE. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL REPRESENTED ANYWHERE FROM
75 PERCENT TO NEAR 200 PERCENT OF NORMAL...WITH GREATEST PERCENTAGES
MAINLY OVER WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. MUCH OF THIS WAS THE RESULT OF
VERY SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEMS PRODUCING LARGE AMOUNTS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. AIDING IN THE IMPROVING DROUGHT CONDITIONS WAS
THE MELTING OF RESIDUAL SNOW AREAS BETWEEN FOUR AND EIGHT
INCHES...MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE...FROM MORRIS TO ST CLOUD TO
CAMBRIDGE.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

LOCAL AREA AFFECTED.

...MINNESOTA...

SEVERE /D2/ DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO EXIST ACROSS A SMALL
PORTION OF SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA INTO PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA. THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN HALF OF MINNESOTA MAINLY
WEST OF A LINE...FROM SAUK CENTRE TO ST JAMES IS UNDER MODERATE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS. THE ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ OR MODERATE /D1/ DROUGHT
CONDITION AREA IS MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE...FROM MANKATO TO MINNEAPOLIS
TO WHITE BEAR LAKE.

...WISCONSIN...

THERE ARE NO SEVERE OR MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN WEST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN. A VERY SMALL AREA OF ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ CONDITIONS
ARE SEEN OVER THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF POLK COUNTY. THIS PARTIALLY
IS DUE TO PRECIPITATION DEFICITS GOING BACK TO THE SUMMER OF 2012.

SOIL CONDITIONS.

SOIL MOISTURE ACROSS MINNESOTA HAS IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE
LAST FALL. AS OF MAY 19TH...TOPSOIL MOISTURE SUPPLIES ACROSS THE
STATE IMPROVED TO ZERO PERCENT VERY SHORT...ELEVEN PERCENT
SHORT...67 PERCENT ADEQUATE...AND 22 PERCENT SURPLUS. SUBSOIL
MOISTURE SUPPLIES ALSO IMPROVED TO FIVE PERCENT VERY SHORT...25
PERCENT SHORT 65 PERCENT ADEQUATE AND SEVEN PERCENT SURPLUS.

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN HAVE ALSO
IMPROVED IMMENSELY SINCE LAST FALL. AS OF MAY 19TH...TOPSOIL
MOISTURE CONDITIONS WERE ZERO PERCENT VERY SHORT...FOUR PERCENT
SHORT...84 PERCENT ADEQUATE WITH 12 PERCENT SURPLUS. SUBSOIL
MOISTURE WAS ONE PERCENT VERY SHORT...19 PERCENT SHORT...76
PERCENT ADEQUATE AND 4 PERCENT SURPLUS.


RIVER AND STREAM FLOW CONDITIONS.

AS OF MAY 23RD...RIVER FLOWS OVER EAST CENTRAL...PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL...AND PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA HAD JUMPED
TO BETWEEN 125% TO AS MUCH AS 356% OF NORMAL. PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
MINNESOTA REPORTED FLOW LEVELS IN THE 56% TO 90% OF NORMAL RANGE.

AS OF MAY 23RD...IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN STREAM FLOW READINGS HAD
ALSO CATAPULTED TO BETWEEN 150% TO OVER 460% OF NORMAL. RAINFALL
DURING THE PAST WEEK...AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THIS WEEK...SHOULD
MAINTAIN CURRENT RIVER LEVELS IN BOTH WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.

MINNESOTA...

AS OF MAY 23RD...THE FIRE DANGER RATING IS LOW. BURNING PERMITS ARE
REQUIRED OVER ALL OF THE SOUTHERN THREE QUARTERS OF MINNESOTA. THE
FIRE DANGER THREAT WILL REMAIN LOW INTO AT LEAST THE NEXT WEEK TO
10 DAYS CONSIDERING THE RECENT RAINS AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT WEEK.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON BURNING PERMITS IN MINNESOTA...VISIT THE
MINNESOTA DNR WEB SITE OR CALL 1-888-MINNDNR...OR IN THE TWIN
CITIES METRO CALL 651-296-6157. IN WISCONSIN... VISIT THE
WISCONSIN DNR WEB SITE OR CALL 1-888-WIS-BURN /947-2876/.


WISCONSIN...

AS OF MAY 23RD...THE FIRE DANGER RATING FOR ALL OF WISCONSIN IS LOW.
THE FIRE DANGER THREAT WILL REMAIN LOW INTO AT LEAST THE NEXT WEEK TO
10 DAYS CONSIDERING THE RECENT RAINS AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT WEEK.

PLEASE VISIT THE WISCONSIN DNR WEB SITE FOR CURRENT BURNING
RESTRICTIONS OR CALL THE NUMBER LISTED BELOW.

1-888-WIS-BURN (947-2876).


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

A SHORT DRY PERIOD TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE REGION. A NEW STORM SYSTEM OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST...WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST TOWARDS MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN
DURING THE NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE THE CATALYST FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO NEXT THURSDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE THREE QUARTERS OF AN
INCH...TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCH RANGE WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHERN
MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD...WITH HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW TO NEAR AVERAGE.

THE EIGHT TO FOURTEEN DAY OUTLOOK DEPICTS A FORTY TO SIXTY PERCENT
CHANCE FOR ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. THERE IS A 40 TO 50 PERCENT
CHANCE FOR ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

LONGER RANGE FORECASTS FOR JUNE CURRENTLY HAVE EQUAL CHANCES FOR
ABOVE...NEAR AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION...AND TEMPERATURES.

HYDROLOGICAL SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

THE U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK VALID FROM MAY 16TH TO AUGUST
31ST, 2013 IS INDICATING IMPROVEMENT IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA.

RIVER LEVELS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE AS WE PROCEED INTO THE MONTH
OF JUNE...AS THE FREQUENCY OF PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO WANE.

ENSO NEUTRAL CONDITIONS CONTINUE. EQUATORIAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
ARE NEAR AVERAGE ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC OCEAN AND
BELOW AVERAGE ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC. ENSO NEUTRAL CONDITIONS
ARE FAVORED INTO THE LATE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE SUMMER OF 2013.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED BY THE THIRD WEEK OF JUNE...OR SOONER
IF DROUGHT CONDITIONS CHANGE NOTICEABLY.


&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/
MIDWESTERN REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...
HTTP://MCC.SWS.UIUC.EDU/INDEX.JSP

WISCONSIN STATE CLIMATOLOGY OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.AOS.WISC.EDU/~SCO/
MINNESOTA CLIMATOLOGY WORKING GROUP...HTTP://CLIMATE.UMN.EDU/
DETAILED CROP INFORMATION AT USDA PUBLICATIONS WEB SITE...
HTTP://WWW.NASS.USDA.GOV/PUBLICATIONS/STATE_CROP_PROGRESS_AND_
CONDITION/INDEX.ASP
ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION:

NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
USACE...HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/CPC...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA`S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER
...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS...AND
THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES
...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA ...USACE AND
USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS REPORT PLEASE
CONTACT:

DIANE COOPER/TONY ZALESKI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
CHANHASSEN, MN 55317
952-361-6708
DIANE.COOPER@NOAA.GOV

$$

AZ
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
