Extended Streamflow Prediction
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FGUS65 KSTR 171827
ESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
Jun 17, 2013

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

Mid-June Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts for 2013
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent.



Rio Blanco nr Pagosa Springs FORECAST  OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May
   Apr-Jul    22.0    24.0    26.0        4.7    12.0


Navajo-Chromo near FORECAST            OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May
   Apr-Jul    24.0    26.0    29.0        5.0    12.0


Vallecito Reservoir FORECAST           OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May
   Apr-Jul    97.0    99.0   108.0       14.7    49.0
       Jun    22.0    24.0    27.0
       Jul     9.0    11.0    17.0
       Aug     6.5    10.0    18.0


Navajo Reservoir FORECAST              OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May
   Apr-Jul   278.0   290.0   315.0       71.0   154.0
       Jun    51.0    53.0    59.0
       Jul     2.0    12.0    31.0
       Aug     6.0    18.0    28.0


Animas - Durango FORECAST              OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May
   Apr-Jul   184.0   191.0   203.0       21.0    96.0
       Jun    50.0    53.0    56.0
       Jul    17.0    21.0    30.0
       Aug    13.0    19.0    30.0


Lemon Reservoir   FORECAST             OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May
   Apr-Jul    21.0    23.0    26.0        3.5    13.5
       Jun     3.0     4.0     5.0
       Jul     1.0     2.0     4.0
       Aug     1.1     2.4     4.9

G.Smith/CBRFC
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