Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 281914
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
314 PM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

...No drying in sight...

.DISCUSSION...Rain, heavy at times, will overspread the region
this evening and continue overnight. The unsettled weather will
then continue into the weekend with scattered showers and
thunderstorms possible each day.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-290815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
314 PM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers until 0500.
                    chance of thunderstorms after 2000 until 0500,
                    then showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (120).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.36-0.70 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms until 0800,
                    then chance of showers until 1400, then slight
                    chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 27 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (920).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (100).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1400.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 2 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (400).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.13 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-290815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
314 PM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers until 2400.
                    chance of thunderstorms. showers likely after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 13 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (180).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.59 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms until 0800, then
                    chance of showers until 1400, then slight
                    chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (840).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (160).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1400.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (480).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.14 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-290815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
314 PM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers until 2400.
                    chance of thunderstorms. showers likely after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer...except 9 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 1 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (190).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.43-0.62 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0800. chance of showers
                    until 1400.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer...except unchanged near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1020).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (70).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 0800. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1100.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (410).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.21 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-290815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
314 PM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers until 2400.
                    chance of thunderstorms. chance of showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 16 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (160).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.31-0.62 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0800. chance of showers
                    until 1400.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (970).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (100).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 0800. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1100.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........65-70 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (420).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.23 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-290815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
314 PM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers until 2400.
                    chance of thunderstorms. showers likely after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 15 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (120).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.20-0.53 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0800. chance of showers
                    until 1400.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (780).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (280).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 0800. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1400.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (530).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.17 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

KJF



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