Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS53 KAPX 270749
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
349 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...COOL...CLOUDY AND RAINY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN COOL...CLOUDY AND RAINY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS DEEP LOW PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES REGION. THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE AROUND THE STRAITS AREA AND
ACROSS NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH TONIGHT. BREEZY CONDITIONS
WILL ALSO PERSIST THROUGH TODAY...WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 15 TO 25 MPH.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-272015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
349 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1700. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. NUMEROUS
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT...EXCEPT 86-91 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1040).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.40 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200. PATCHY FOG
                    AFTER 2000 UNTIL 0200...THEN AREAS OF FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (80).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.32 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 0800. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1070).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-272015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
349 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1340).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.27 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2000. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2000. PATCHY FOG
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (70).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800.
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1150).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-272015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
349 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1030).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.27 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200. PATCHY FOG
                    AFTER 2000 UNTIL 0200...THEN AREAS OF FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 55-60 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.33 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 0800. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1070).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-272015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
349 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1100. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1130).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.22 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200. PATCHY FOG
                    AFTER 2000 UNTIL 0200...THEN AREAS OF FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.29 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    0800. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1110).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-272015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
349 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1700. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.15 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2000. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2000. PATCHY FOG
                    AFTER 2000 UNTIL 0200. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (70).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.19 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    0800. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1150).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MLR


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