Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 201938
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
332 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AIR WILL LINGER OVER SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN INTO EARLY MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THE APPROACH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LATER IN THE DAY WILL
NOT ONLY INCREASE HUMIDITY LEVELS TOWARD EVENING BUT WILL LEAD TO
INCREASED CHANCES OF RAIN. THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT MONDAY NIGHT
WILL BRING MUCH COOLER AIR BACK TO THE REGION BY TUESDAY. HUMIDITY
LEVELS WILL DROP BACK OFF AS WELL.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-211400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
332 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM UNTIL 4 PM. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 PM. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 4 PM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9890-10390 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2210).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 9 PM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 5 AM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......820-1020 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......25 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4190-4690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-211400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
332 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10370-10870 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2060).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 9 PM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 5 AM. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......25 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4830-5330 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1190).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-211400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
332 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 4 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9010-9510 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2040).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 5 AM.
                    POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......870-1070 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5220-5720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1350).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.

$$

CB/SC






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