Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 260724
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
316 AM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will settle slowly through the northern
Great Lakes today, bringing a chance chance of showers and
thunderstorms north of the I-69 corridor. As this front continues to
move slowly south, rain chances will increase areawide overnight
into Thursday and then linger into Friday as the front stalls for a
time near the Michigan and Ohio state line. Minimum RH values will
increase from 45 to 50 percent today to 60 to 70 percent on Thursday
as showers become more widespread.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-261900-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
316 AM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 pm then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms until 2 pm, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 to 20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3760-4260 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 15 to
                    20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (640).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......No change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......120-320 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4050-4550 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (510).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-261900-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
316 AM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms after 11 am until
                    2 pm then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3560-4060 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph becoming southwest 15
                    to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (550).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......180-380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2 pm then a slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........63-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph becoming northeast in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3970-4470 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (450).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-261900-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
316 AM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 10 am then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph increasing to
                    southwest 10 to 15 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3890-4390 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (550).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until midnight then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance
                    of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........89-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......180-380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph decreasing to around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms until 8 am then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......15-20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph becoming east in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5660-6160 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (410).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs around 80.

$$

HLO



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