Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 010748
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM TODAY AND ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. MIN RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 50
PERCENT...WITH SHOWERS SPREADING IN THURSDAY NIGHT AND LASTING
THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-012100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
345 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    10 AM. PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL 10 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE...BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3490-3990 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (410).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......620-820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM UNTIL NOON...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1840-2340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (370).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-012100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
345 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM. AREAS OF DRIZZLE UNTIL 10 AM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (350).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 11 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1610-2110 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-012100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
345 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    10 AM. PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL 10 AM. POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE...BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3720-4220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (360).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......580-780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER NOON. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2370-2870 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (390).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...COOLER. NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.

$$

SF






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