Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 220706
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
306 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

...HOT and dusty into early next week...

.DISCUSSION...Due to a stalled upper air pattern over the Great Lakes,
expect sunny hot days with mostly clear warm nights through Monday.
Winds will be light through Monday too.


MIZ037>039-043>045-222015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
306 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until 0900.
Max temperature.....87-92.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent near Lake Michigan and 42-47
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 9
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6400-6900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0500.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1400-1900
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....79-84 near Lake Michigan and 87-92 inland.
   24 hr trend......
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
   24 hr trend......
Min humidity........55-60 percent near Lake Michigan and 41-46
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
   24 hr trend......
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6400-6900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-222015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
306 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until 0900.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8000-8500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0500.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 91.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL increasing to 8300-8800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-222015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
306 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog until 0900.
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6800-7300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0500.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph until midday becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7400-7900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-222015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
306 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900.
Max temperature.....90-95.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......9000-9500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0500.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....90-95.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7600-8100 ft AGL increasing to 9800-10300 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-222015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
306 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 1500.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-95.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7700-8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0500.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....90-95.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6700-7200 ft AGL increasing to 8900-9400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to
8 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to
6 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60.
.WEDNESDAY...Cooler. Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.

$$



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