Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 210856
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
356 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm and humid conditions will persist through the
weekend as Bermuda high pressure dominates the weather across
the eastern Carolinas. Temperatures will remain well above
normal with highs near record levels through Sunday. A cold
front will bring a chance of showers Sunday night or Monday,
with temperatures cooling back toward normal by Tuesday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...High.

NCZ105>110-220100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
356 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          79           58           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         S  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             69/1000      1900         71/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        56           100          55
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4410                      4120
Transport wnd (mph)   S 15                      SW 12
Ventilation rate      66150                     49440
ADI early             56 Gen good  3 Very poor  30 Fair
ADI late              49 Gen good  1 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           8            10
Max LVORI late        3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy fog. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum
RH 63 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-220100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
356 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           58           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         S  4         S  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         S  3         SW  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             71/1000      1900         73/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        56           100          52
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4880                      4440
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     SW 12
Ventilation rate      73200                     53280
ADI early             50 Gen good  3 Very poor  31 Fair
ADI late              55 Gen good  2 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           7            9
Max LVORI late        3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy fog. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-220100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
356 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           58           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         S  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             70/1000      1900         71/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        61           100          53
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4720                      4310
Transport wnd (mph)   S 15                      SW  9
Ventilation rate      70800                     38790
ADI early             44 Gen good  4 Very poor  27 Fair
ADI late              48 Gen good  1 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           8            10
Max LVORI late        3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy fog. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum
RH 63 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-220100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
356 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           59           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         S  4         S  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         S  3         S  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             71/1000      1900         72/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        55           100          50
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5040                      4590
Transport wnd (mph)   S 15                      SW 10
Ventilation rate      75600                     45900
ADI early             47 Gen good  4 Very poor  29 Fair
ADI late              51 Gen good  2 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           7            9
Max LVORI late        3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy fog. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum
RH 52 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

27


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