Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 110937
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
437 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The week looks dry although there is some risk for rainfall on
Friday. Sunshine will bring a modest temperature rise and we
will be close to normal by Tuesday. A strong cold front will
move across the area late Tuesday with Arctic air returning
Tuesday night through Wednesday night. Temperatures will moderate
late week. A cold front may bring a brief cool down to start the
weekend followed by a return to seasonable temperatures Sunday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-120145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
437 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           37           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         SW  4        SW 10 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  3         SW  7        W 13 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             49/1100      1800         50/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        36           94           45
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2480                      4320
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  6                     W 23
Ventilation rate      14880                     99360
ADI early             7 poor       2 Very poor  57 Gen good
ADI late              16 Gen poor  6 Very poor  68 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
67 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
99 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-120145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
437 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           35           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  7        W 12 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             45/1100      1800         46/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        40           93           43
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2340                      4870
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  5                     W 22
Ventilation rate      11700                     107140
ADI early             6 Very poor  3 Very poor  57 Gen good
ADI late              13 Gen poor  6 Very poor  78 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
65 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-120145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
437 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           38           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         SW  4        SW 10 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  8        W 13 G23
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             49/1100      1800         49/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        38           90           44
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2310                      4440
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  3                     W 23
Ventilation rate      6930                      102120
ADI early             7 poor       3 Very poor  58 Gen good
ADI late              11 poor      6 Very poor  70 Good
Max LVORI early       5            3            5
Max LVORI late        2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-120145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
437 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           35           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  7        W 13 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             46/1100      1800         44/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        39           93           39
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2400                      5030
Transport wnd (mph)   W  3                      W 24
Ventilation rate      7200                      120720
ADI early             6 Very poor  3 Very poor  55 Gen good
ADI late              12 poor      6 Very poor  83 Good
Max LVORI early       6            3            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-120145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
437 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           37           59
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        SW  4        SW 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  7        W 13 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             47/1100      1800         46/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        38           91           43
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2320                      4760
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  3                     W 23
Ventilation rate      6960                      109480
ADI early             6 Very poor  3 Very poor  57 Gen good
ADI late              8 poor       6 Very poor  76 Good
Max LVORI early       6            3            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

27


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