Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 271950
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
350 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will bring dry and cooler air through mid week.
Summertime weather will return late week with increasing heat
and coverage of thunderstorms persisting into the weekend.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-281200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
350 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         None
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           87           62           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        NE  4        SE  4        E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         E  5         LGT/VAR      SE  7
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             2000         77/1000      2000         80/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           35           100          43
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                8590                      6440
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  5                     SE  8
Ventilation rate                   42950                     51520
ADI early             14 Gen poor  36 Fair      19 Gen poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  36 Fair      1 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            7            4            10
Max LVORI late        7            2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-281200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
350 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           87           61           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NE  4        SE  3        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  4         LGT/VAR      SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         74/1000      2000         78/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        96           35           100          42
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                8650                      6900
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  2                     SE  9
Ventilation rate                   17300                     62100
ADI early             13 Gen poor  38 Fair      16 Gen poor  18 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  35 Fair      1 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            7            3            10
Max LVORI late        7            2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-281200-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
350 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         None
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           87           63           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        NE  5        SE  6        E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         E  7         SE  3        SE  8
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             2000         77/1000      2000         80/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        95           40           100          46
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            5            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                8580                      6720
Transport wnd (mph)                E  6                      SE 12
Ventilation rate                   51480                     80640
ADI early             13 Gen poor  45 Gen good  29 Fair      32 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  44 Gen good  2 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            4            7
Max LVORI late        6            2            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-281200-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
350 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         None
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           88           63           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NE  5        SE  5        E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         E  6         LGT/VAR      SE  7
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0
Inversion             2000         76/1000      2000         80/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        96           36           98           43
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                8700                      6880
Transport wnd (mph)                E  5                      SE 12
Ventilation rate                   43500                     82560
ADI early             13 Gen poor  50 Gen good  31 Fair      29 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  44 Gen good  2 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            6            3            7
Max LVORI late        7            2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-281200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
350 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           88           62           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NE  5        SE  5        SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         E  5         LGT/VAR      SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         74/1000      2000         77/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        91           35           97           42
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                8650                      7070
Transport wnd (mph)                E  2                      S 10
Ventilation rate                   17300                     70700
ADI early             16 Gen poor  39 Fair      18 Gen poor  23 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  35 Fair      2 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            3            7
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 92 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

17


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