Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 020956
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
556 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA WILL MOVE OFFSHORE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING. DRY AND COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW
FOR THE WEEKEND AND PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A WARMING TREND IS
EXPECTED FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-030200-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
556 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          84           59           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      S  3         SW  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  3        LGT/VAR      S  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             71/1000      1900         72/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        48           100          48
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5530                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     SW 12
VENTILATION RATE      27650                     54000
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  21 FAIR      12 POOR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  33 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-030200-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
556 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          85           60           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             71/1000      1900         71/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        45           99           47
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6570                      5150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW 15
VENTILATION RATE      39420                     77250
ADI EARLY             15 GEN POOR  28 FAIR      17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              43 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  46 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-030200-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
556 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           61           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  4        LGT/VAR      S  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                                 0
INVERSION             72/1000      1900         72/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        45           100          50
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5990                      4770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SW 13
VENTILATION RATE      17970                     62010
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       22 FAIR      12 POOR
ADI LATE              22 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  37 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-030200-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
556 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          87           60           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                                 0
INVERSION             72/1000      1900         72/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        42           99           46
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6990                      5470
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW 16
VENTILATION RATE      34950                     87520
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  31 FAIR      18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              39 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           4            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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