Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 140817
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
317 AM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS IN PLACE TODAY AND WILL BE SLOW TO ERODE TOMORROW AS IT
GETS OVERRUN WITH MOISTURE. A SOAKING RAIN IS EXPECTED MONDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. DRY AND SEASONABLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED
FOR THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-150030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
317 AM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            70
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          36           26           56
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  8        E  6         E  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  6        NE  7        LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.25
PRECIP DURATION                                 7
INVERSION             NONE         1900         CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        23           99           67
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3260                      250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     E  7
VENTILATION RATE      29340                     1750
ADI EARLY             39 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  8 POOR
ADI LATE              32 FAIR      8 POOR       4 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       1            3            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-150030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON
317 AM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          37           27           44
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  8        E  6         NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  7         E  8         E  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                    0            2
INVERSION             NONE         1900         CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        23           81           64
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3350                      300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      NE  8
VENTILATION RATE      33500                     2400
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      9 POOR       9 POOR
ADI LATE              26 FAIR      8 POOR       7 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       2            2            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            3            5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-150030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
317 AM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           60
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          37           26           48
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  8        E  5         NE  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  6        NE  7        E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15
PRECIP DURATION                    0            5
INVERSION             NONE         1900         CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        23           92           65
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3370                      270
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      NE  8
VENTILATION RATE      26960                     2160
ADI EARLY             40 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  9 POOR
ADI LATE              25 FAIR      8 POOR       5 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       1            3            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            3            8

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-150030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
317 AM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            60
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          39           28           55
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  9        E  7         NE  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  8         NE  8        SE  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15
PRECIP DURATION                                 2
INVERSION             NONE         1900         CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        25           95           71
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3080                      250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      NE  7
VENTILATION RATE      30800                     1750
ADI EARLY             35 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  8 POOR
ADI LATE              32 FAIR      9 POOR       5 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       2            3            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-150030-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
317 AM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          41           27           49
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  9        E  6         NE  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  7         NE  8        E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                    0            2
INVERSION             NONE         1900         CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        22           81           65
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3350                      250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      NE  8
VENTILATION RATE      33500                     2000
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      10 POOR      9 POOR
ADI LATE              30 FAIR      9 POOR       6 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       1            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            3            6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40


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