Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 212113
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
413 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...A slow moving storm system moving over the
northeastern Gulf of Mexico will bring wet weather to the
region tonight into Wednesday. No change in air mass will
occur with the departure of the system, and mild and mainly
dry weather will return for Wednesday night into Friday. A
strong cold front will pass Friday night, bringing another
round of rain and a change to temperatures near normal.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-104-106>114-119-120-220945-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-
Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee,
Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright,
Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Inez,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
413 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain likely, especially late.
Min Temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds at 5 mph or less.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.16 - 0.27 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous showers, especially in the
                    morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......45 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index.... 6.
Vent Rate...........Poor (5500 knot-ft).
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 - 0.24 inches.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds at 5 mph or less.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................3.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers, and a
                    slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....30.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (30000 knot-ft).
ADI.................15 increasing to 30 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.


$$

KYZ083>088-115>118-220945-
Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-
Including the cities of Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City,
Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville,
Cumberland, Harlan, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
and Whitesburg
413 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the evening,
                    then numerous rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.21 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Periods of rain showers in the morning,
                    then scattered rain showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......38 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index.... 6.
Vent Rate...........Poor (6100 knot-ft).
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.08 - 0.27 inches.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers, mainly
                    in the evening.
Min Temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds at 5 mph or less.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................3.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....30.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (30500 knot-ft).
ADI.................14 increasing to 29 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in
the evening. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms,
mainly in the morning. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
and snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 40s. South winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.

$$
HAL


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