Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 010846
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
346 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN
RETURN BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
346 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+7)   33-38 (+2)   39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+8)   95-100 (+14) 44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.12         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     N  8
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    SW  5        N  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
346 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   35-40 (+5)   40-45
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+14)  89-94 (-3)   35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G17                  NW  8 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.05         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW 10
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               15 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G22                  NW  9 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  6 G18     N  6 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-021000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
346 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-2)   37-42 (+6)   42-47
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+21)  91-96 (+4)   53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G22                 N  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  6        LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     N  7
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               8 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G28                 N  6 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    SW  7 G18    N  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-021000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
346 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+2)   38-43 (+6)   44-49
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+21)  95-100 (+12) 57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.07         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      N  9
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G16                 N  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-021000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
346 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   40-45 (+10)  45-50
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+24)  95-100 (+8)  57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     NW  8
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               11 POOR
MAX LVORI             7                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
346 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   36-41 (+6)   41-46
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+16)  89-94 (+3)   47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.09         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      N  6
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               11 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
346 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   35-40 (+3)   42-47
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+20)  91-96 (+6)   46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.09         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NE  8
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
346 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   36-41 (-1)   43-48
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   95-100 (+16) 55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      3300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      NE  9
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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