Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 021848
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
248 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  SOME OF THESE STORMS
MAY BE STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE. COOLER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
248 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   66-71 (-5)   46-51        60-65
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   44-49 (-14)  88-93        45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      W  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           40           60
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.72         0.09         0.02         0.09
LAL                   3            1            1            2
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W 18
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   68 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      W 11 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-2)   64-69 (-8)   44-49        58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+3)   48-53 (-6)   85-90        44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W  6 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      W 10 G19
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           40           50
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         0.10         0.02         0.03
LAL                   3            1            1            2
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 22
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               74 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      W  8 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     W  5         W 13 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-032000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
248 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-4)   63-68 (-10)  43-48        58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   47-52 (-5)   89-94        42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  7         LGT/VAR      W  9 G18
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           30           40
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.06         0.02         0.03
LAL                   3            1            1            2
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      6800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 22
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      W  8 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    W  9 G17     W  5         W 13 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-032000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-3)   67-72 (-8)   44-49        63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+2)   45-50 (-7)   89-94        39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      W  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           20           40
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.03         0.01         0.01
LAL                   3            1            1            2
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     W 21
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         LGT/VAR      W 12 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-032000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   68-73 (-6)   44-49        63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   43-48 (-11)  93-98        39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      W  9 G16
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           20           30
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.03         0.01         0.01
LAL                   3            1            1            2
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     W 21
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
248 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-3)   68-73 (-6)   46-51        62-67
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    45-50 (-10)  86-91        42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W  7 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      W 10 G19
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           30           50
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.65         0.08         0.02         0.06
LAL                   3            1            1            2
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      W 22
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      W  8 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     LGT/VAR      W 13 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
248 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-5)   69-74 (-5)   46-51        63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   40-45 (-17)  83-88        38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      W  9
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           30           50
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.03         0.02         0.07
LAL                   3            1            1            2
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     W 20
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   80 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      W 12 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
248 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016 /148 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   69-74 (-4)   46-51        65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   41-46 (-18)  83-88        35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      W 11 G22
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           40
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.02         0.01         0.04
LAL                   3            1            1            2
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     W 20
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   77 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     W  8 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    NW  5        W 14 G27

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$



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