Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 312035
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
335 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION SUNDAY...THEN TRACK
EAST AND SPREAD RAIN INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. COLDER AIR FLOWS INTO THE REGION BY MONDAY MORNING BEHIND THE
PASSING COLD FRONT...AND MAY BRING A LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012145-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
335 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+9)   47-52 (+5)   28-33        30-35
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-8)   35-40 (+10)  95-100       48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 11 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     S  9 G19     NW 10 G20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           50
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.43         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      NW 25
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   61 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     W 14 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G21     S 11 G24     NW 13 G26

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 22. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012145-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
335 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+12)  45-50 (+5)   29-34        31-36
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-3)   32-37 (+10)  95-100       48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      W 14 G27
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     S  9 G21     NW 14 G27
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           50
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.37         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      NW 31
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               71 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  W 17 G34
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G23     S 12 G26     NW 18 G34

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 11 TO
21. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-012145-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
335 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+12)  44-49 (+4)   27-32        29-34
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-2)   34-39 (+11)  95-100       49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G20                  W 11 G22
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 13 G28     SW 14 G29    NW 10 G21
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           50
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.20         0.38         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      NW 25
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   53 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G25                  W 14 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 17 G35     SW 17 G37    NW 13 G27

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 21. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-012145-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
335 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+12)  47-52 (+1)   31-36        33-38
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-4)   44-49 (+19)  95-100       47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  NW  9 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G20     S  9 G20     NW  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           40
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.29         0.41         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      NW 23
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               59 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G22                  NW 12 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 13 G25     S 11 G25     NW 11 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 24. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-012145-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
335 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+9)   47-52 (-1)   32-37        34-39
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+1)   50-55 (+27)  95-100       47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     NW  9 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     S  6         NW 10 G19
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           40
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.25         0.45         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      NW 26
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   81 GOOD
MAX LVORI                          5                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G18                 NW 12 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     S  8 G17     NW 12 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
335 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+9)   48-53 (+5)   31-36        33-38
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-9)   40-45 (+17)  95-100       48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 13 G23
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  7         NW 10 G22
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           50
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.38         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      NW 24
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   56 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 16 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     S  9 G18     NW 13 G27

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
335 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+11)  48-53 (+4)   29-34        31-36
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-5)   47-52 (+22)  95-100       46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G15                  W 10 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     SW  9 G18    NW  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           30
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.44         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1700                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      NW 21
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               60 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G19                  W 12 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     SW 11 G23    NW 10 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012145-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
335 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+12)  49-54 (+5)   30-35        33-38
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-7)   53-58 (+28)  95-100       43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  NW 11 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G18     SW  9 G18    NW  9 G18
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           30
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.37         0.46         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      NW 22
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    63 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  NW 14 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 13 G22     SW 12 G22    NW 11 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 50.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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