Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 231656
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1256 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...Updated to raise max temps for today.
A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S
BY SATURDAY. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BACK INTO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241800-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
1256 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+9)   37-42 (+11)  61-66
RH % (24h trend)      17-22 (-3)   70-75 (+11)  37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  5                     S  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         S  5 G15     SW  9 G20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      5200
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 12                     SW 14
Dispersion            18 Gen poor               36 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  6                     S 11 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7         S  7 G15     SW 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241800-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
1256 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      52-57 (+5)   34-39 (+8)   60-65
RH % (24h trend)      22-27 (0)    72-77 (+12)  36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  7 G15                 S 10 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7         S  6 G15     S  8 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4100                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 12                     SW 13
Dispersion            13 Gen poor               29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  8                     S 12 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  8         S  8 G15     S 10 G21

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows near
50. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-241800-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
1256 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (+5)   38-43 (+6)   59-64
RH % (24h trend)      26-31 (0)    78-83 (+14)  36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6                      S 11 G30
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  6         S  7 G19     S 10 G28
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      5000
Transport wnd (mph)   S 10                      S 16
Dispersion            9 Poor                    26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  7                      S 15 G30
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7         S  9 G19     S 13 G28

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds 5 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-241800-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
1256 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+1)   41-46 (+6)   62-67
RH % (24h trend)      27-32 (+2)   75-80 (+6)   40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  6 G16                 SE 10 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G16     SE  7 G18    S 10 G23
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      3600
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 15                     S 16
Dispersion            27 Fair                   21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  8 G16                 SE 13 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G16     SE  8 G18    S 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower to mid 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-241800-
Nantahala National Forest-
1256 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   38-43 (+4)   61-66
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   76-81 (-4)   41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     SE  8 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SE  6        SE  7 G18
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     SE 12
DISPERSION            18 Gen poor               12 Poor
MAX LVORI             2                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8                     SE 10 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8        SE  7        SE  9 G18

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southeast
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241800-
East Tennessee District East-
1256 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+5)   38-43 (+9)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      20-25 (0)    74-79 (+11)  37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  5                     S  7 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G22
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 10                     SW 13
Dispersion            24 Fair                   33 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  6                     S 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6         SE  5        SW 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241800-
East Tennessee District West-
1256 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+5)   42-47 (+8)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      23-28 (+3)   72-77 (+15)  38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  9 G22
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)   S 12                      S 17
Dispersion            28 Fair                   40 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  5                     S 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7         S  6         S 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-241800-
Cumberland District South-
1256 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017 /1156 AM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+2)   44-49 (+7)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      31-36 (+8)   71-76 (+11)  38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  6 G17                 S  9 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G19     S  7 G17     S 10 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 20                     S 17
Dispersion            49 Gen good               32 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  8 G17                 S 11 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G19     S  8 G17     S 12 G21

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$



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