Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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039
FNUS55 KPSR 191135
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
435 AM MST THU JAN 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
TWO STORM SYSTEMS WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. LIGHT RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS ARIZONA THOUGH THE
GREATER POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAINS WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS ARE EXPECTED GENERALLY ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN NORTH AND EAST OF PHOENIX. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS THEN
EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP FRIDAY WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL EXPECTED
FRIDAY EVENING. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE HEAVIER
RAINFALL...HOWEVER WITH THE MOIST CONDITIONS PERSISTING...FIRE
DANGER REMAINS LOW ACROSS THE REGION.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-192345-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
435 AM MST THU JAN 19 2017

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  . SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................55-63.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................46-59 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................18 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING 35 TO 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................50 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......4600 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 6 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........FAIR.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
  SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................42-52.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................80-93 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................11 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 35 TO 45 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 25 TO 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................50 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................52-60.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................53-69 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................10 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................70 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......5900 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
40-50. HIGHS 55-61. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
MOSTLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
40-50. HIGHS 53-61. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
MOSTLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 39-49. HIGHS
55-62. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
38-48. HIGHS 53-59.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 37-47. HIGHS 55-61.

$$

AZZ133-192345-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
435 AM MST THU JAN 19 2017

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................44-56.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................51-67 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................50 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
  CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................34-45.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................89-100 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 35 TO 45 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................90 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
  MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS . SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................40-53.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................66-82 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................16 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................90 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 27-44. HIGHS 39-54. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 27-44. HIGHS
42-54. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 27-44. HIGHS
42-55. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 23-38. HIGHS 40-53.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 22-37. HIGHS 43-56.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-192345-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
435 AM MST THU JAN 19 2017 /335 AM PST THU JAN 19 2017/

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS .
  SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................61-66.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................45-52 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................25 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING 35 TO 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........6000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................43-50.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................71-93 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS . SHOWERS LIKELY
  IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................58-63.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................51-64 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING 45 TO 55 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................70 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........3300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 20 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 42-50.
HIGHS 60-64. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
42-49. HIGHS 58-63. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
MOSTLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
41-49. HIGHS 58-63. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
MOSTLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
41-45. HIGHS 57-61.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 39-44. HIGHS 59-63.

$$

CAZ230-192345-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
335 AM PST THU JAN 19 2017

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................46-58.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................49-73 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................36 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 35 TO 45 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................50 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................36-43.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................76-89 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS . SHOWERS IN THE
  AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................43-54.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................68-79 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................13 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING 50 TO 60 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................80 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 35-43.
HIGHS 45-58. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 35-42. HIGHS 45-54. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 31-42. HIGHS
42-55. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 31-39. HIGHS 44-54.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 30-38. HIGHS 47-55.

$$

CAZ232-192345-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
335 AM PST THU JAN 19 2017

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS .
  SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................57-66.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................46-55 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................23 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 40 TO 50 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................43-49.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................77-93 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 20 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS . SHOWERS LIKELY
  IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................54-63.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................58-71 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................14 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING 55 TO 65 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................70 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 42-50.
HIGHS 56-64. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 42-49. HIGHS
55-62. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
40-49. HIGHS 54-62. LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
MOSTLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
39-45. HIGHS 53-61.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 37-44. HIGHS 55-63.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...THURSDAY JANUARY 26TH THROUGH SATURDAY
JANUARY 28TH...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW MEDIAN
PRECIPITATION.



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