Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KPSR 190958
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
258 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered light showers will continue this morning over Arizona
portions of the forecast area...especially south-central
AZ...before dissipating over the higher terrain later this
afternoon. Winds will be light. Anticipate warmer temperatures and
lower humidities today over southeast CA and southwest AZ. High
pressure building into the region Monday will lead to dry
conditions...warmer temperatures...lower humidities...and light
winds across the forecast area.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-192200-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
258 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers.
* Max Temperature.................59-67.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................49-64 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................40 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7200 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 9 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
  showers in the evening.
* Min Temperature.................46-56.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................86-100 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  evening becoming southeast after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................65-70.
*    24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................42-50 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................10 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 or low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......5300 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......Northwest 2 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Warmer. Mostly clear. Lows 49-59. Highs 74-78. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 47-57. Highs 73-79. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Mostly clear. Lows 41-51. Highs 62-69. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-51. Highs 64-70.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 65-71.

$$

AZZ133-192200-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
258 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers in the
  morning becoming showers likely in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................46-58.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................62-74 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................90 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
  showers .
* Min Temperature.................35-46.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................89-100 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening
  becoming mostly downslope/downvalley after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................20 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................56-66.
*    24 hr trend..................8 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................44-53 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................19 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Light and variable in the morning
  becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 or low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Warmer. Mostly clear. Lows 39-54. Highs 67-76. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 40-54. Highs 65-76. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Mostly clear with slight chance of showers.
Lows 32-50. Highs 53-65. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 32-46. Highs 55-66.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34-47. Highs 56-68.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-192200-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
258 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017 /158 AM PST Sun Feb 19 2017/

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers in the morning.
* Max Temperature.................66-70.
*    24 hr trend..................11 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................44-49 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................23 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........7100 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 9 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature.................50-54.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................80-89 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................9 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................69-73.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................38-46 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........4700 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 4 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Marginal.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52-59. Highs 76-80. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 50-59. Highs 76-80. West winds
10 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler, clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 65-70. Northwest
winds 10 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-49. Highs 68-72.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-50. Highs 67-72.

$$

CAZ230-192200-
Joshua Tree National Park-
158 AM PST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................54-66.
*    24 hr trend..................10 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................42-59 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................28 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 25 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy in the evening
  becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers
  after midnight.
* Min Temperature.................44-50.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Max Humidity....................71-83 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................12 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers in the morning.
* Max Temperature.................59-70.
*    24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................41-57 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 48-53. Highs 66-75. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 39-53. Highs 59-72. West winds
15 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 37-47. Highs 51-63. Northwest
winds 10 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 37-45. Highs 54-66.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows
36-46. Highs 52-65.

$$

CAZ232-192200-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
158 AM PST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................63-69.
*    24 hr trend..................11 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................42-50 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................33 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature.................49-53.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................74-93 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................11 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................67-73.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................40-47 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 52-59. Highs 74-79. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 47-59. Highs 71-78. West winds
10 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 62-69. Northwest winds 10 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-50. Highs 64-71.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-50. Highs 63-70.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Sunday February 26th through Tuesday
February 28th: below normal temperatures and near median
precipitation.


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