Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
344 PM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

ECC029-231645-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
344 PM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF SAN
LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

From today through Wednesday, a prolonged duration of gusty Santa
Ana winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected. Northeast
winds are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across wind favored
passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura through tonight. The
Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal coverage and
intensity Monday into Tuesday, with strongest winds on Tuesday
gusting between 45 and 60 mph across wind favored portions of Los
Angeles and Ventura counties. Moderate offshore winds and low
humidities are now expected to continue Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning, prompting the extension of the Red Flag Warning through
Wednesday. The hottest and driest conditions are expected on Monday
and Tuesday, when triple digit heat and humidities lowering into
single digits and lower teens will be common across coastal and
valley areas. Northeast to east winds gusting between 25 and 40 mph
will also bring elevated to brief critical fire weather concerns to
portions of San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties through
Tuesday, especially across the Central Coast. Of particular concern
will be Monday when the gusty offshore winds combine with humidities
lowering into the teens(locally single digits) and temperatures
rising to between 90 and 100 degrees along the Central Coast.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to this long
duration fire weather threat. The duration, strength, and widespread
nature of this Santa Ana wind event combined with the extreme heat
and very dry fuels will bring the most dangerous fire weather
conditions that Southwest California has seen in the past few years.
If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid
spread of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire
behavior that could lead to a threat to life and property.


...Discussion from Monterey...

...Offshore winds in the hills tonight... ...Warm and dry Monday and
Tuesday with poor humidity recovery...

Offshore winds develop in the North Bay hills tonight with the
strongest gusts in the Napa hills. Humidity recovery will be much
drier tonight but remain moderate overall. Warming and drying trend
continues Monday as offshore winds ease by afternoon. Little or no
humidity recovery Monday night into  Tuesday but with light offshore
winds. Temperatures to remain  above normal for much of this week
with periods of offshore winds  and continued poor to moderate
humidity recovery. The long range  forecast remains dry through
Halloween and into early November.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



$$

ECC028-231645-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
344 PM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF SAN
LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

From today through Wednesday, a prolonged duration of gusty Santa
Ana winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected. Northeast
winds are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across wind favored
passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura through tonight. The
Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal coverage and
intensity Monday into Tuesday, with strongest winds on Tuesday
gusting between 45 and 60 mph across wind favored portions of Los
Angeles and Ventura counties. Moderate offshore winds and low
humidities are now expected to continue Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning, prompting the extension of the Red Flag Warning through
Wednesday. The hottest and driest conditions are expected on Monday
and Tuesday, when triple digit heat and humidities lowering into
single digits and lower teens will be common across coastal and
valley areas. Northeast to east winds gusting between 25 and 40 mph
will also bring elevated to brief critical fire weather concerns to
portions of San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties through
Tuesday, especially across the Central Coast. Of particular concern
will be Monday when the gusty offshore winds combine with humidities
lowering into the teens(locally single digits) and temperatures
rising to between 90 and 100 degrees along the Central Coast.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to this long
duration fire weather threat. The duration, strength, and widespread
nature of this Santa Ana wind event combined with the extreme heat
and very dry fuels will bring the most dangerous fire weather
conditions that Southwest California has seen in the past few years.
If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid
spread of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire
behavior that could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$

ECC031-231645-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
344 PM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF SAN
LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

From today through Wednesday, a prolonged duration of gusty Santa
Ana winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected. Northeast
winds are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across wind favored
passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura through tonight. The
Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal coverage and
intensity Monday into Tuesday, with strongest winds on Tuesday
gusting between 45 and 60 mph across wind favored portions of Los
Angeles and Ventura counties. Moderate offshore winds and low
humidities are now expected to continue Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning, prompting the extension of the Red Flag Warning through
Wednesday. The hottest and driest conditions are expected on Monday
and Tuesday, when triple digit heat and humidities lowering into
single digits and lower teens will be common across coastal and
valley areas. Northeast to east winds gusting between 25 and 40 mph
will also bring elevated to brief critical fire weather concerns to
portions of San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties through
Tuesday, especially across the Central Coast. Of particular concern
will be Monday when the gusty offshore winds combine with humidities
lowering into the teens(locally single digits) and temperatures
rising to between 90 and 100 degrees along the Central Coast.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to this long
duration fire weather threat. The duration, strength, and widespread
nature of this Santa Ana wind event combined with the extreme heat
and very dry fuels will bring the most dangerous fire weather
conditions that Southwest California has seen in the past few years.
If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid
spread of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire
behavior that could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$

ECC024-231645-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
344 PM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF SAN
LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

From today through Wednesday, a prolonged duration of gusty Santa
Ana winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected. Northeast
winds are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across wind favored
passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura through tonight. The
Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal coverage and
intensity Monday into Tuesday, with strongest winds on Tuesday
gusting between 45 and 60 mph across wind favored portions of Los
Angeles and Ventura counties. Moderate offshore winds and low
humidities are now expected to continue Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning, prompting the extension of the Red Flag Warning through
Wednesday. The hottest and driest conditions are expected on Monday
and Tuesday, when triple digit heat and humidities lowering into
single digits and lower teens will be common across coastal and
valley areas. Northeast to east winds gusting between 25 and 40 mph
will also bring elevated to brief critical fire weather concerns to
portions of San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties through
Tuesday, especially across the Central Coast. Of particular concern
will be Monday when the gusty offshore winds combine with humidities
lowering into the teens(locally single digits) and temperatures
rising to between 90 and 100 degrees along the Central Coast.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to this long
duration fire weather threat. The duration, strength, and widespread
nature of this Santa Ana wind event combined with the extreme heat
and very dry fuels will bring the most dangerous fire weather
conditions that Southwest California has seen in the past few years.
If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid
spread of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire
behavior that could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$

ECC032-231645-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
344 PM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF SAN
LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

From today through Wednesday, a prolonged duration of gusty Santa
Ana winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected. Northeast
winds are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across wind favored
passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura through tonight. The
Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal coverage and
intensity Monday into Tuesday, with strongest winds on Tuesday
gusting between 45 and 60 mph across wind favored portions of Los
Angeles and Ventura counties. Moderate offshore winds and low
humidities are now expected to continue Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning, prompting the extension of the Red Flag Warning through
Wednesday. The hottest and driest conditions are expected on Monday
and Tuesday, when triple digit heat and humidities lowering into
single digits and lower teens will be common across coastal and
valley areas. Northeast to east winds gusting between 25 and 40 mph
will also bring elevated to brief critical fire weather concerns to
portions of San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties through
Tuesday, especially across the Central Coast. Of particular concern
will be Monday when the gusty offshore winds combine with humidities
lowering into the teens(locally single digits) and temperatures
rising to between 90 and 100 degrees along the Central Coast.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to this long
duration fire weather threat. The duration, strength, and widespread
nature of this Santa Ana wind event combined with the extreme heat
and very dry fuels will bring the most dangerous fire weather
conditions that Southwest California has seen in the past few years.
If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid
spread of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire
behavior that could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$

ECC030-231645-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
344 PM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF SAN
LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

From today through Wednesday, a prolonged duration of gusty Santa
Ana winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected. Northeast
winds are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across wind favored
passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura through tonight. The
Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal coverage and
intensity Monday into Tuesday, with strongest winds on Tuesday
gusting between 45 and 60 mph across wind favored portions of Los
Angeles and Ventura counties. Moderate offshore winds and low
humidities are now expected to continue Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning, prompting the extension of the Red Flag Warning through
Wednesday. The hottest and driest conditions are expected on Monday
and Tuesday, when triple digit heat and humidities lowering into
single digits and lower teens will be common across coastal and
valley areas. Northeast to east winds gusting between 25 and 40 mph
will also bring elevated to brief critical fire weather concerns to
portions of San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties through
Tuesday, especially across the Central Coast. Of particular concern
will be Monday when the gusty offshore winds combine with humidities
lowering into the teens(locally single digits) and temperatures
rising to between 90 and 100 degrees along the Central Coast.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to this long
duration fire weather threat. The duration, strength, and widespread
nature of this Santa Ana wind event combined with the extreme heat
and very dry fuels will bring the most dangerous fire weather
conditions that Southwest California has seen in the past few years.
If fire ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid
spread of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire
behavior that could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$



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