Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
347 PM PST THU FEB 4 2016

ECC029-051800-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
347 PM PST THU FEB 4 2016

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

...PROLONGED PERIOD OF GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WITH WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL BRING ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THROUGH MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...

OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY LEADING
TO A GENERAL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND STRENGTH OF OFFSHORE
WINDS ON FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY GUST
BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES
AND VENTURA COUNTIES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND
55 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. THERE IS  THE POSSIBILITY OF OFFSHORE WINDS
INCREASING SLIGHTLY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WHEN PEAK GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS. OFFSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BUT SPEEDS ARE EXPECTING TO TREND DOWNWARD.

THERE WILL BE A STEADY WARM-UP DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE 80S SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
WARMEST LOCATIONS POSSIBLY REACHING 90 DEGREES BY TUESDAY.
HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY FALL TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...WITH POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
READINGS SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY. IN ADDITION THERE WILL BE POOR
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES EACH NIGHT OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH MANY FOOTHILL AND MOUNTAIN AREAS REMAINING BELOW
20 PERCENT. THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS...WARM
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. WHILE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL MEET THE WEATHER
PORTION OF A RED FLAG WARNING...THE CURRENT FUELS STATUS DUE TO
RECENT RAINS DOES NOT JUSTIFY A WARNING AT THIS TIME...BUT THIS
COULD CHANGE AS WE MOVE THROUGH THIS OFFSHORE WIND EVENT.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE TO
STRENGTHEN THROUGH SUNDAY BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT
OFFSHORE FLOW TO THE REGION.

NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



$$

ECC028-051800-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
347 PM PST THU FEB 4 2016

...PROLONGED PERIOD OF GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WITH WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL BRING ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THROUGH MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...

OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY LEADING
TO A GENERAL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND STRENGTH OF OFFSHORE
WINDS ON FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY GUST
BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES
AND VENTURA COUNTIES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND
55 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. THERE IS  THE POSSIBILITY OF OFFSHORE WINDS
INCREASING SLIGHTLY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WHEN PEAK GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS. OFFSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BUT SPEEDS ARE EXPECTING TO TREND DOWNWARD.

THERE WILL BE A STEADY WARM-UP DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE 80S SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
WARMEST LOCATIONS POSSIBLY REACHING 90 DEGREES BY TUESDAY.
HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY FALL TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...WITH POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
READINGS SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY. IN ADDITION THERE WILL BE POOR
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES EACH NIGHT OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH MANY FOOTHILL AND MOUNTAIN AREAS REMAINING BELOW
20 PERCENT. THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS...WARM
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. WHILE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL MEET THE WEATHER
PORTION OF A RED FLAG WARNING...THE CURRENT FUELS STATUS DUE TO
RECENT RAINS DOES NOT JUSTIFY A WARNING AT THIS TIME...BUT THIS
COULD CHANGE AS WE MOVE THROUGH THIS OFFSHORE WIND EVENT.


$$

ECC031-051800-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
347 PM PST THU FEB 4 2016

...PROLONGED PERIOD OF GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WITH WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL BRING ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THROUGH MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...

OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY LEADING
TO A GENERAL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND STRENGTH OF OFFSHORE
WINDS ON FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY GUST
BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES
AND VENTURA COUNTIES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND
55 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. THERE IS  THE POSSIBILITY OF OFFSHORE WINDS
INCREASING SLIGHTLY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WHEN PEAK GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS. OFFSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BUT SPEEDS ARE EXPECTING TO TREND DOWNWARD.

THERE WILL BE A STEADY WARM-UP DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE 80S SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
WARMEST LOCATIONS POSSIBLY REACHING 90 DEGREES BY TUESDAY.
HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY FALL TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...WITH POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
READINGS SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY. IN ADDITION THERE WILL BE POOR
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES EACH NIGHT OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH MANY FOOTHILL AND MOUNTAIN AREAS REMAINING BELOW
20 PERCENT. THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS...WARM
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. WHILE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL MEET THE WEATHER
PORTION OF A RED FLAG WARNING...THE CURRENT FUELS STATUS DUE TO
RECENT RAINS DOES NOT JUSTIFY A WARNING AT THIS TIME...BUT THIS
COULD CHANGE AS WE MOVE THROUGH THIS OFFSHORE WIND EVENT.


$$

ECC024-051800-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR...SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
347 PM PST THU FEB 4 2016

...PROLONGED PERIOD OF GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WITH WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL BRING ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THROUGH MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...

OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY LEADING
TO A GENERAL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND STRENGTH OF OFFSHORE
WINDS ON FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY GUST
BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES
AND VENTURA COUNTIES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND
55 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. THERE IS  THE POSSIBILITY OF OFFSHORE WINDS
INCREASING SLIGHTLY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WHEN PEAK GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS. OFFSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BUT SPEEDS ARE EXPECTING TO TREND DOWNWARD.

THERE WILL BE A STEADY WARM-UP DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE 80S SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
WARMEST LOCATIONS POSSIBLY REACHING 90 DEGREES BY TUESDAY.
HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY FALL TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...WITH POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
READINGS SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY. IN ADDITION THERE WILL BE POOR
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES EACH NIGHT OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH MANY FOOTHILL AND MOUNTAIN AREAS REMAINING BELOW
20 PERCENT. THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS...WARM
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. WHILE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL MEET THE WEATHER
PORTION OF A RED FLAG WARNING...THE CURRENT FUELS STATUS DUE TO
RECENT RAINS DOES NOT JUSTIFY A WARNING AT THIS TIME...BUT THIS
COULD CHANGE AS WE MOVE THROUGH THIS OFFSHORE WIND EVENT.


$$

ECC032-051800-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
347 PM PST THU FEB 4 2016

...PROLONGED PERIOD OF GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WITH WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL BRING ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THROUGH MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...

OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY LEADING
TO A GENERAL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND STRENGTH OF OFFSHORE
WINDS ON FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY GUST
BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES
AND VENTURA COUNTIES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND
55 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. THERE IS  THE POSSIBILITY OF OFFSHORE WINDS
INCREASING SLIGHTLY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WHEN PEAK GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS. OFFSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BUT SPEEDS ARE EXPECTING TO TREND DOWNWARD.

THERE WILL BE A STEADY WARM-UP DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE 80S SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
WARMEST LOCATIONS POSSIBLY REACHING 90 DEGREES BY TUESDAY.
HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY FALL TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...WITH POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
READINGS SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY. IN ADDITION THERE WILL BE POOR
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES EACH NIGHT OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH MANY FOOTHILL AND MOUNTAIN AREAS REMAINING BELOW
20 PERCENT. THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS...WARM
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. WHILE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL MEET THE WEATHER
PORTION OF A RED FLAG WARNING...THE CURRENT FUELS STATUS DUE TO
RECENT RAINS DOES NOT JUSTIFY A WARNING AT THIS TIME...BUT THIS
COULD CHANGE AS WE MOVE THROUGH THIS OFFSHORE WIND EVENT.


$$

ECC030-051800-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
347 PM PST THU FEB 4 2016

...PROLONGED PERIOD OF GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WITH WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL BRING ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THROUGH MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...

OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY LEADING
TO A GENERAL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND STRENGTH OF OFFSHORE
WINDS ON FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY GUST
BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES
AND VENTURA COUNTIES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND
55 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. THERE IS  THE POSSIBILITY OF OFFSHORE WINDS
INCREASING SLIGHTLY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WHEN PEAK GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS. OFFSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BUT SPEEDS ARE EXPECTING TO TREND DOWNWARD.

THERE WILL BE A STEADY WARM-UP DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE 80S SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
WARMEST LOCATIONS POSSIBLY REACHING 90 DEGREES BY TUESDAY.
HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY FALL TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...WITH POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
READINGS SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY. IN ADDITION THERE WILL BE POOR
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES EACH NIGHT OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH MANY FOOTHILL AND MOUNTAIN AREAS REMAINING BELOW
20 PERCENT. THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS...WARM
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. WHILE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL MEET THE WEATHER
PORTION OF A RED FLAG WARNING...THE CURRENT FUELS STATUS DUE TO
RECENT RAINS DOES NOT JUSTIFY A WARNING AT THIS TIME...BUT THIS
COULD CHANGE AS WE MOVE THROUGH THIS OFFSHORE WIND EVENT.


$$


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