Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 232328
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ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
328 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

ECC029-241730-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
328 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER
THE COAST AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH THURSDAY...

THE NORTH FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM EARLIER WILL WEAKEN INTO
MONDAY AS THE FLOW SHIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST...BUT IT WILL REMAIN
GUSTY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS. THE AIR MASS WILL DRY AS WELL INTO
MONDAY...WITH MOST AREAS SEEING HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL CONDITIONS
ON MONDAY OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. RED FLAG DURATIONS HOWEVER
WILL ONLY BE MET WHERE THE WINDS ARE THE STRONGEST...NAMELY THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND POSSIBLY THE SANTA CLARITA
VALLEY.

COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW INTO A MODERATE
SANTA ANA. WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 55 MPH
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE
TO RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
80S. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS AND
DURATIONS OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
COASTAL SECTIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. WHILE WEAKER WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...CONTINUED DRY AIR WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR RED FLAG
CONDITIONS. MUCH WEAKER WINDS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR SUNDAY
OR MONDAY.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

...SEASONABLY WARM WITH LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH DRY
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS IN THE HILLS.
TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH DAYTIME
HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S INLAND. ON THURSDAY THE RIDGE
WILL FLATTEN WITH A RETURN TO ONSHORE FLOW AND SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES. ON FRIDAY THE PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO CHANGE WITH
INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN IN THE NORTH BAY BY FRIDAY NIGHT. RAIN
CHANCES SHOULD INCREASE OVER THE ENTIRE BAY AREA BY NEXT WEEKEND.

NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



$$

ECC028-241730-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
328 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER
THE COAST AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH THURSDAY...

THE NORTH FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM EARLIER WILL WEAKEN INTO
MONDAY AS THE FLOW SHIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST...BUT IT WILL REMAIN
GUSTY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS. THE AIR MASS WILL DRY AS WELL INTO
MONDAY...WITH MOST AREAS SEEING HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL CONDITIONS
ON MONDAY OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. RED FLAG DURATIONS HOWEVER
WILL ONLY BE MET WHERE THE WINDS ARE THE STRONGEST...NAMELY THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND POSSIBLY THE SANTA CLARITA
VALLEY.

COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW INTO A MODERATE
SANTA ANA. WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 55 MPH
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE
TO RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
80S. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS AND
DURATIONS OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
COASTAL SECTIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. WHILE WEAKER WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...CONTINUED DRY AIR WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR RED FLAG
CONDITIONS. MUCH WEAKER WINDS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR SUNDAY
OR MONDAY.


$$

ECC031-241730-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
328 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER
THE COAST AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH THURSDAY...

THE NORTH FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM EARLIER WILL WEAKEN INTO
MONDAY AS THE FLOW SHIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST...BUT IT WILL REMAIN
GUSTY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS. THE AIR MASS WILL DRY AS WELL INTO
MONDAY...WITH MOST AREAS SEEING HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL CONDITIONS
ON MONDAY OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. RED FLAG DURATIONS HOWEVER
WILL ONLY BE MET WHERE THE WINDS ARE THE STRONGEST...NAMELY THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND POSSIBLY THE SANTA CLARITA
VALLEY.

COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW INTO A MODERATE
SANTA ANA. WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 55 MPH
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE
TO RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
80S. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS AND
DURATIONS OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
COASTAL SECTIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. WHILE WEAKER WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...CONTINUED DRY AIR WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR RED FLAG
CONDITIONS. MUCH WEAKER WINDS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR SUNDAY
OR MONDAY.


$$

ECC024-241730-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR...SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
328 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER
THE COAST AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH THURSDAY...

THE NORTH FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM EARLIER WILL WEAKEN INTO
MONDAY AS THE FLOW SHIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST...BUT IT WILL REMAIN
GUSTY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS. THE AIR MASS WILL DRY AS WELL INTO
MONDAY...WITH MOST AREAS SEEING HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL CONDITIONS
ON MONDAY OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. RED FLAG DURATIONS HOWEVER
WILL ONLY BE MET WHERE THE WINDS ARE THE STRONGEST...NAMELY THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND POSSIBLY THE SANTA CLARITA
VALLEY.

COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW INTO A MODERATE
SANTA ANA. WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 55 MPH
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE
TO RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
80S. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS AND
DURATIONS OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
COASTAL SECTIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. WHILE WEAKER WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...CONTINUED DRY AIR WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR RED FLAG
CONDITIONS. MUCH WEAKER WINDS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR SUNDAY
OR MONDAY.


$$

ECC032-241730-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
328 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER
THE COAST AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH THURSDAY...

THE NORTH FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM EARLIER WILL WEAKEN INTO
MONDAY AS THE FLOW SHIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST...BUT IT WILL REMAIN
GUSTY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS. THE AIR MASS WILL DRY AS WELL INTO
MONDAY...WITH MOST AREAS SEEING HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL CONDITIONS
ON MONDAY OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. RED FLAG DURATIONS HOWEVER
WILL ONLY BE MET WHERE THE WINDS ARE THE STRONGEST...NAMELY THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND POSSIBLY THE SANTA CLARITA
VALLEY.

COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW INTO A MODERATE
SANTA ANA. WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 55 MPH
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE
TO RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
80S. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS AND
DURATIONS OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
COASTAL SECTIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. WHILE WEAKER WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...CONTINUED DRY AIR WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR RED FLAG
CONDITIONS. MUCH WEAKER WINDS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR SUNDAY
OR MONDAY.


$$

ECC030-241730-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
328 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER
THE COAST AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH THURSDAY...

THE NORTH FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM EARLIER WILL WEAKEN INTO
MONDAY AS THE FLOW SHIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST...BUT IT WILL REMAIN
GUSTY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS. THE AIR MASS WILL DRY AS WELL INTO
MONDAY...WITH MOST AREAS SEEING HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL CONDITIONS
ON MONDAY OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. RED FLAG DURATIONS HOWEVER
WILL ONLY BE MET WHERE THE WINDS ARE THE STRONGEST...NAMELY THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND POSSIBLY THE SANTA CLARITA
VALLEY.

COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW INTO A MODERATE
SANTA ANA. WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 55 MPH
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE
TO RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
80S. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS AND
DURATIONS OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
COASTAL SECTIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. WHILE WEAKER WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...CONTINUED DRY AIR WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR RED FLAG
CONDITIONS. MUCH WEAKER WINDS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR SUNDAY
OR MONDAY.


$$






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