Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS73 KAPX 291845
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAULKINS LAKE ROAD...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
245 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LARGE AREA OF STRONG PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS
PARKED ALONG AND NORTH OF THE US/CANADIAN BORDER THIS MORNING.
MEANWHILE...AN AREA OF SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES OVER
CENTRAL MICHIGAN. LIFT AND RESULTING LIGHT PRECIP IS GRADUALLY
WEAKENING AS REMNANTS OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUE TO EXIT SE AWAY
FROM LWR MICHIGAN. RH WILL GRADUALLY LOWER TODAY TO AROUND 30
PERCENT BY MID AFTERNOON...EASTERLY WINDS TODAY SHOULD REMAIN ON
THE LIGHT SIDE WITH THE HIGHEST GUSTS BELOW 20 MPH. RH SATURDAY
WILL DROP A BIT MORE...TO NEAR 30-35 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
WINDS NEARLY THE SAME AS TODAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 2.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX GOOD(300).

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........52  47  45  44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............53  55  55  54
RH..............36  35  33  32
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  10
HAINES INDEX....2   2   2   2
SMOKE DISP......300 300 300 300

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(700).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........7      7      30     37     38     42
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............30     34     46     53     56     57
RH..............92     84     51     39     37     35
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 3    E 5    E 6    E 6    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     15     15     15
SMOKE DISP......0      0      300    600    500    700

$$
FORECASTER...KEVIN FARINA
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160429.CAULK.01/APX



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