Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 041440
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR A G  RANCH PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
740 AM MST WED MAR 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SNOW WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF BY THIS MORNING WITH
SOME CONVECTIVE LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON BUT INTENSITY
WILL BE LIGHT WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. SMOKE DISPERSAL
WILL DETERIORATE THROUGH THE DAY AS A RADIATIONAL INVERSION WILL FORM
AROUND NOON THAT WILL HINDER MIXING OUT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH
THE MORNING WITH POSSIBLE GUSTING UP TO 18 TO 20 MPH LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON...HOWEVER MOST OF THE WINDS WILL BE TRAPPED ABOVE THE INVERSION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY UNTIL 1500...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%).
                    CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SNOW UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 18.
MIN HUMIDITY........52%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 0900.
                    6100-7100 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. GOOD AFTER 1100.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND ZERO.
MAX HUMIDITY........79%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY
                    POSSIBLE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4900 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1100-1200 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MIN HUMIDITY........33%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL
                    1100...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...NOT AS COOL. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 8-9 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR A G  RANCH PILES.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

03/04-07 81 21  4 11 63   CALM  1 2 1   W 39  2073 WNW  7 14839 P
03/04-08 69 18  4 14 56   CALM  1 2 1   W 38  2515 WNW  9 20894 P
03/04-09 74 17  3 15 55  NW  2  2 2 1   W 37  4109 WNW 13 53067  F
03/04-10 73 16  3 16 56   N  3  3 2 1   W 37  5704   W 15 85240   G
03/04-11 78 15  3 16 57  NE  6  6 2 1   W 36  7298   W 18117413    V
03/04-12 74 10  2 17 57 NNE  6  6 2 1   W 32  7325 WNW 17110094    V
03/04-13 71 10  2 18 55 NNW  7  7 3 1   W 30  7352 WNW 16102775    V
03/04-14 67  8  2 18 54  NW  7  7 3 1 WNW 28  7379 WNW 15 95457   G
03/04-15 57  5  1 17 52  NW  7  7 3 1 WNW 30  6558 WNW 16 88997   G
03/04-16 53  2  0 14 55  NW  8 13 2 1 WNW 31  5737  NW 17 82537   G
03/04-17 45  1  0 11 58 WNW  8 13 2 1  NW 33  4916  NW 17 76077   G
03/04-18 45  1  0  7 66 WNW  8 14 3 1  NW 37  4028  NW 17 61910   G
03/04-19 45  1  0  5 71 WNW  9 14 3 1 NNW 41  3139 WNW 17 47744  F
03/04-20 37  1  0  4 72 WNW  9 15 4 1   N 46  2250 WNW 17 33577 P
03/04-21 37  1  0  3 72   W  9 15 4 1   N 46  1912 WNW 16 27125 P
03/04-22 37  1  0  3 68   W  9 15 4 1   N 46  1574   W 15 20672 P
03/04-23 25  1  0  2 68   W  9 15 4 1   N 46  1236   W 14 14220 P
03/05-00 25  1  0  2 66   W 10 16 4 1   N 43  1183   W 14 13792 P
03/05-01 25  1  0  2 65   W 12 17 4 1 NNW 39  1130   W 14 13363 P
03/05-02 34  1  0  1 68   W 12 18 4 1 NNW 36  1077   W 14 12935 P
03/05-03 34  1  0  0 74   W 10 17 4 1 NNW 36  1092   W 14 12953 P
03/05-04 34  1  0  0 78   W  9 15 4 1 NNW 35  1107   W 14 12971 P
03/05-05 23  0  0  1 79   W  9 15 4 1 NNW 35  1121   W 14 12989 P
03/05-06 23  0  0  3 75   W 10 17 4 1 NNW 33  1580   W 13 18048 P
03/05-07 23  0  0  8 62   W 13 21 4 1 NNW 33  2038   W 13 23107 P
03/05-08 23  0  0 13 53   W 14 22 4 1 NNW 32  2497   W 13 28165 P
03/05-09 23  0  0 18 47   W 13 20 3 1 NNW 32  2925   W 13 33661 P
03/05-10 23  0  0 24 41   W 10 16 3 1 NNW 31  3353   W 13 39157 P
03/05-11 30  0  0 29 37   W  8 13 3 1 NNW 31  3780   W 14 44652  F
03/05-12 30  0  0 33 34 WNW  8  8 3 1 NNW 30  3427   W 13 39411 P
03/05-13 30  0  0 35 33 WNW  8 13 3 1 NNW 30  3074   W 13 34170 P
03/05-14 30  0  0 35 33 WNW  8 13 3 1 NNW 29  2720   W 12 28928 P
03/05-15 30  0  0 33 36 WNW  8 13 3 1 NNW 29  2367   W 10 23687 P
03/05-16 30  0  0 30 40 WNW  8 13 3 1 NNW 28  2013 WNW 10 18446 P
03/05-17 35  0  0 26 46   W  8 13 3 1 NNW 28  1660 WNW  9 13204 P
03/05-18 35  0  0 21 55   W  8 14 3 1 NNW 28  1587   W  9 12888 P
03/05-19 35  0  0 18 61   W  9 15 3 1 NNW 28  1514   W  9 12571 P
03/05-20 35  0  0 15 67   W 10 16 4 1 NNW 28  1441   W 10 12255 P
03/05-21 35  0  0 13 70   W 10 16 4 1 NNW 28  1369   W 10 11938 P
03/05-22 35  0  0 12 69   W  9 15 4 1 NNW 28  1296   W 10 11622 P
03/05-23 20  0  0 12 67   W  9 15 4 1 NNW 28  1223   W 10 11305 P
03/06-00 20  0  0 12 66   W  9 15 4 1 NNW 28  1227   W 10 11262 P
03/06-01 20  0  0 11 69   W 10 16 4 1 NNW 28  1231   W 10 11218 P
03/06-02 20  0  0 11 70   W 10 16 4 1 NNW 29  1235   W 10 11174 P
03/06-03 20  0  0 10 70   W  9 15 4 1 NNW 29  1239   W 10 11131 P
03/06-04 20  0  0 10 69   W  9 14 4 1 NNW 29  1243   W 10 11087 P
03/06-05 18  0  0 11 66   W  8 13 4 1 NNW 29  1247   W 10 11044 P
03/06-06 18  0  0 12 69   W  8 14 4 1 NNW 28  1716   W 10 14085 P
03/06-07 18  0  0 15 68   W  9 15 4 1 NNW 25  2186   W  9 17126 P
03/06-08 18  0  0 20 62   W  9 15 4 1 NNW 23  2655   W  9 20168 P
03/06-09 18  0  0 26 52   W  8 14 3 1 NNW 21  3125 WNW  9 23209 P
03/06-10 18  0  0 33 42   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 20  3594 WNW  8 26251 P
03/06-11 32  0  0 39 36   W  6  6 3 1 NNW 17  4064 WNW  8 29292 P
03/06-12 32  0  0 43 33   W  6  6 3 1 NNW 17  3655 WNW  8 25526 P
03/06-13 32  0  0 44 34 WNW  5  5 3 1 NNW 17  3247 WNW  7 21760 P
03/06-14 32  0  0 43 36 WNW  5  5 3 1  NW 18  2838 WNW  7 17994 P
03/06-15 32  0  0 41 38 WNW  5  5 2 1  NW 18  2429 WNW  6 14228 P
03/06-16 32  0  0 37 42 WNW  3  3 2 1  NW 18  2020 WNW  6 10462 P
03/06-17 37  0  0 32 49 WNW  3  3 2 1  NW 18  1612 WNW  5  6696 P
03/06-18 37  0  0 28 57 WNW  5  5 2 1  NW 17  1549 WNW  5  6769 P
03/06-19 37  0  0 24 67   W  5  5 2 1  NW 16  1487 WNW  6  6842 P
03/06-20 37  0  0 21 74   W  6  6 3 1  NW 15  1425 WNW  6  6915 P
03/06-21 37  0  0 19 76   W  6  6 3 1  NW 13  1362 WNW  6  6988 P
03/06-22 37  0  0 18 73   W  5  5 3 1  NW 12  1300   W  6  7061 P
03/06-23 30  0  0 17 70   W  5  5 3 1  NW 10  1238   W  7  7134 P
03/07-00 30  0  0 16 69   W  5  5 3 1  NW 10  1243   W  7  7066 P
03/07-01 30  0  0 15 69   W  5  5 3 1  NW 10  1248   W  7  6999 P
03/07-02 30  0  0 14 70   W  5  5 3 1  NW 10  1253 WNW  7  6932 P
03/07-03 30  0  0 14 68   W  5  5 3 1 NNW 12  1258 WNW  6  6865 P
03/07-04 30  0  0 13 71   W  5  5 3 1 NNW 12  1263 WNW  6  6797 P
03/07-05 41  0  0 13 73   W  5  5 3 1 NNW 12  1268 WNW  6  6730 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BOWEN
REQUESTED BY...KRIS HEINY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150304.AGRAN.01/BOU


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