Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 212058
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Delatour...Forest Service
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
258 PM MDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1500 MDT on July 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms already developing near the burn area this
afternoon and will continue to do so through this evening.  The storms will
be slow moving and have the potential to produce locally heavy rainfall, around
one half inch 30 minutes or less, small hail, frequent cloud to ground lightning
and wind gusts to 40 mph. Thunderstorms this afternoon developing near Red Feather
Lakes and Glendevy.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................30 percent.
LAL.................4.
Max temperature.....77-79.
Min humidity........36-37%.
Wind (20 ft)........South/southeast 5-6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    outflow winds to 40 mph possible near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4100-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms
                    until 2400, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after 2400.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent in the late
                    evening and overnight.
LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........66%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    to 35 mph expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2300-3300 ft AGL until 2100. Below 1000 FT AGL
                    after 0200.
Transport winds.....West 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(50-60%) until 1300, then mostly
                    cloudy(60-65%). Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 1300, then chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....77-79.
Min humidity........31-33%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 4-8 mph until 0900, then east
                    6-7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0700. 7900-8900 ft AGL
                    after 0900.
Transport winds.....North 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800, then fair until 1100, then
                    good until 1600, then fair.
Haines Index........3 very low.


Fire Weather Table for Delatour.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/21-15 89 53 28 73 47   S  6  6 2 4         5217 WNW  6 26878 P
07/21-16 89 50 26 71 49 WSW  7  7 3 4         4581 NNW  6 21468 P
07/21-17 90 47 23 70 49   W  8 13 3 4         3945 NNE  5 16650 P
07/21-18 90 41 18 68 55   W  7  7 3 4         3309  NE  5 12425 P
07/21-19 87 38 16 67 56  SW  6  6 3 4         2761   N  5 10442 P
07/21-20 84 35 13 65 58 SSW  6  6 3 4         2212  NW  5  8429 P
07/21-21 80 32 11 63 60 WSW  6  6 3 4         1664 WNW  5  6386 P
07/21-22 77 27  7 62 62  SW  6  6 3 4         1516   W  5  6347 P
07/21-23 75 29  8 62 62 WSW  5  5 3 4         1368  SW  6  6205 P
07/22-00 72 25  5 61 62 WSW  6  6 2 2         1221 SSW  6  5960 P
07/22-01 70 20  4 60 62   W  7  7 3 3         1078  SW  7  6029 P
07/22-02 67 16  3 60 62   W  7  7 3 3          935   W  7  5896 P
07/22-03 65 16  3 58 64 WNW  7  7 3 3          793 WNW  8  5560 P
07/22-04 62 15  3 57 64   W  7  7 3 3          762 WNW  9  6230 P
07/22-05 61 15  3 56 66   W  6  6 3 3          731  NW 10  6829 P
07/22-06 59 15  3 57 62   W  5  5 3 3          701  NW 12  7356 P
07/22-07 56 15  3 61 56 WNW  5  5 3 3         2500 NNW 12 25235 P
07/22-08 55 15  3 66 48 NNW  3  3 3 3         4300   N 12 41647  F
07/22-09 55 15  3 71 42 NNW  3  3 3 3         6100   N 10 56592  F
07/22-10 55 15  3 74 38 NNE  5  5 3 3         7047   N  9 59360  F
07/22-11 55 18  4 74 38  NE  5  5 3 3         7994   N  9 60510   G
07/22-12 59 24  5 75 36 ENE  6  6 3 3         8941   N  8 60042   G
07/22-13 63 27  7 75 36   E  7  7 3 4         8944 NNE  8 61210   G
07/22-14 63 27  7 76 33   E  7  7 3 4         8948 NNE  8 62379   G
07/22-15 63 27  7 76 33   E  8 13 3 4         8951 NNE  8 63549   G
07/22-16 63 27  7 76 33   E  8 13 3 4         8592  NE  7 54014  F
07/22-17 61 27  7 75 34   E  8 13 3 4         8233   E  6 45063  F
07/22-18 56 12  2 74 36 ESE  8 13 3 2         7874 ESE  6 36696 P
07/22-19 51 11  2 71 39 ESE  7  7 2 2         6226 ESE  6 28317 P
07/22-20 49  8  2 68 46  SE  6  6 2 1         4579 ESE  5 20309 P
07/22-21 49  6  1 65 54  SE  5  5 2 1         2931  SE  5 12673 P
07/22-22 45  5  1 62 60  SE  5  5 2 1         2506  SE  6 13121 P
07/22-23 37  4  1 60 65  SE  5  5 2 1         2081  SE  7 12793 P
07/23-00 33  3  1 59 67 SSE  5  5 2 1         1656  SE  8 11689 P
07/23-01 33  3  1 58 69 SSE  3  3 2 1         1501 SSE  8 10015 P
07/23-02 33  3  1 57 72 SSE  2  2 2 1         1347 SSE  7  8462 P
07/23-03 33  3  1 55 77 SSE  2  2 2 1         1192 SSE  7  7028 P
07/23-04 33  2  0 53 80   S  3  3 2 1         1120   S  7  6318 P
07/23-05 33  2  0 52 74  SW  5  5 2 1         1049   S  6  5646 P
07/23-06 13  2  0 53 69 WSW  5  5 2 1          977   S  6  5010 P
07/23-07 13  2  0 57 64  SW  3  3 2 1         2391   S  6 12021 P
07/23-08 13  2  0 64 50 SSE  2  2 2 1         3804 SSE  6 18747 P
07/23-09 13  2  0 69 45   CALM  1 2 1         5218 SSE  6 25189 P
07/23-10 20  2  0 72 39  SE  3  3 2 1         6235 SSE  6 32266 P
07/23-11 33  2  0 74 37 ESE  6  6 2 1         7252 SSE  7 40050  F
07/23-12 40 15  3 74 37 ESE  8 13 3 3         8269 SSE  7 48541  F
07/23-13 40 15  3 75 34 ESE  9 14 3 3         8442 SSE  8 55995  F
07/23-14 40 15  3 75 33 ESE  9 15 3 3         8615 SSE  8 63712   G
07/23-15 40 15  3 76 32  SE  9 15 3 3         8788 SSE  9 71693   G
07/23-16 40 15  3 76 32  SE  9 15 3 3         8285 SSE 10 73431   G
07/23-17 40 15  3 76 33  SE  9 15 3 3         7781   S 12 74458   G
07/23-18 54 16  3 74 37  SE  9 15 3 3         7277   S 12 74774   G
07/23-19 54 16  3 71 41  SE  9 15 3 3         5313   S 13 56204  F
07/23-20 54 16  3 67 47  SE  9 15 3 3         3349 SSE 13 36442 P
07/23-21 54 16  3 63 54  SE  9 15 3 3         1384 SSE 13 15485 P
07/23-22 54 16  3 61 56 SSE  8 13 3 3         1198 SSE 12 12036 P
07/23-23 54 16  3 60 60   S  6  6 3 3         1012   S 10  9011 P
07/24-00 23  2  0 60 60   S  5  5 3 1          826   S  9  6412 P
07/24-01 23  2  0 59 62   S  3  3 3 1          807   S  8  5322 P
07/24-02 23  2  0 57 64 SSW  3  3 3 1          787 SSW  6  4277 P
07/24-03 23  2  0 55 69 SSW  3  3 3 1          768  SW  5  3278 P
07/24-04 23  2  0 53 71  SW  3  3 4 1          759  SW  6  3855 P
07/24-05 22  2  0 52 71  SW  3  3 4 1          750   W  7  4418 P
07/24-06 22  5  1 53 66 WSW  3  3 5 1          741   W  8  4966 P
07/24-07 20  5  1 58 53 WSW  3  3 5 1         2418 WNW  9 19906 P
07/24-08 17  5  1 64 45 WSW  3  3 5 1         4095 NNW 12 39981 P
07/24-09 15  5  1 71 35   W  3  3 5 1         5772 NNW 13 65189   G
07/24-10 19  5  1 75 31 WNW  3  3 5 1         8001 NNW 13 85863   G
07/24-11 26  5  1 78 27   N  5  5 5 1        10230 NNW 12104031    V
07/24-12 29 15  3 79 26 NNE  5  5 5 3        12459 NNW 12119694    V
07/24-13 34 15  3 80 25  NE  5  5 5 3        12903 NNW 10115952    V
07/24-14 44 15  3 80 24 ENE  5  5 5 3        13347 NNW  9111658    V
07/24-15 49 15  3 80 24   E  5  5 5 3        13791 NNW  9106813    V
07/24-16 48 15  3 80 24   E  6  6 5 3        13043   N  8 89294   G
07/24-17 45 15  3 79 26 ESE  6  6 5 3        12294   N  7 73121   G
07/24-18 43  3  1 77 28 ESE  7  7 5 1        11546   N  6 53605  F

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...COOPER
REQUESTED BY...Elleri Vitwar
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1713137.0/BOU



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