Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 240131
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
731 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1805 MDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WITH NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT BRINGING OCCASIONAL WAVE CLOUDS TONIGHT.  THE RIDGE WILL
MOVE EAST AND BE OVERHEAD FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  AN UPPER TROUGH WILL
APPROACH THE STATE SUNDAY...WITH INCREASING PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS LATE IN THE DAY.  WINDS WILL INCREASE A BIT
ON SATURDAY AND MORE ON SUNDAY AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES.

.TONIGHT...
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........55%.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........13%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 5800-6800 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........52%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 0100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........15%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2900-3900
                    FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 6800-7800 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1500...THEN 8200-9200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1700...THEN GOOD.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-11 MPH.
.MONDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TROUT CREEK RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/23-18 23  0  0 61 28  SE  5  5 2 1   W 23  6839 WSW 10 62145   G
10/23-19 23  0  0 57 33 SSE  6  6 2 1 WNW 24  5177 WSW 12 49123  F
10/23-20 23  0  0 53 37 SSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 25  3516 WSW 13 36100 P
10/23-21 23  0  0 49 42  SW  9 15 3 1 WNW 26  1854 WSW 14 23078 P
10/23-22 23  0  0 47 45  SW 10 16 3 1 WNW 26  1400 WSW 15 17765 P
10/23-23 23  0  0 45 48  SW 10 16 4 1 WNW 26   945 WSW 16 12452 P
10/24-00 30  0  0 44 49 WSW 10 16 4 1  NW 26   490 WSW 17  7139 P
10/24-01 30  0  0 42 52 WSW 10 17 4 1 WNW 24   490 WSW 17  7236 P
10/24-02 30  0  0 41 54 WSW 12 18 5 1 WNW 23   489   W 17  7332 P
10/24-03 30  0  0 40 55 WSW 12 18 5 1 WNW 21   489   W 17  7428 P
10/24-04 30  0  0 39 53  SW 12 17 5 1 WNW 20   486   W 16  6728 P
10/24-05 30  0  0 38 52  SW 10 16 5 1 WNW 17   483   W 14  6028 P
10/24-06 20  0  0 38 50  SW  9 15 5 1 WNW 16   480   W 13  5327 P
10/24-07 20  0  0 40 48  SW  9 14 5 1 WNW 17   560   W 12  5773 P
10/24-08 20  0  0 43 46  SW  8 14 4 1 WNW 20   641 WSW 12  6218 P
10/24-09 20  0  0 48 40  SW  8 13 4 1 WNW 21   722  SW 10  6663 P
10/24-10 20  0  0 55 32  SW  8  8 4 1 WNW 21  2200 WSW  9 15818 P
10/24-11 20  0  0 61 26  SW  7  7 4 1   W 21  3678   W  8 24972 P
10/24-12 12  0  0 67 20  SW  7  7 4 1   W 21  5156   W  8 34127 P
10/24-13 12  0  0 71 16  SW  7  7 3 1   W 22  6053   W  8 43625  F
10/24-14 12  0  0 72 13  SW  8 13 3 1   W 22  6951   W  9 53122  F
10/24-15 12  0  0 71 13  SW  8 13 2 1   W 22  7849   W  9 62620   G
10/24-16 12  0  0 69 14 SSW  8  8 2 1   W 22  6575  SW  8 46827  F
10/24-17 12  0  0 66 18   S  7  7 2 1   W 22  5301 SSE  6 31034 P
10/24-18  5  1  0 61 24   S  6  6 2 1   W 23  4027 ESE  5 15240 P
10/24-19  5  1  0 56 29   S  5  5 2 1   W 22  3078 ENE  3 10940 P
10/24-20  5  1  0 51 35  SW  3  3 3 1   W 21  2130   N  3  6639 P
10/24-21  5  1  0 47 40 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 21  1181  NW  2  2339 P
10/24-22  5  1  0 45 41 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 20  1131 WNW  2  2635 P
10/24-23  5  1  0 43 42  SW  5  5 4 1   W 18  1080   W  3  2932 P
10/25-00  2  1  0 42 43  SW  6  6 4 1   W 17  1030 WSW  3  3229 P
10/25-01  2  1  0 41 46  SW  6  6 4 1   W 16   913 WSW  5  3497 P
10/25-02  2  1  0 40 51  SW  7  7 4 1   W 15   797  SW  6  3765 P
10/25-03  2  1  0 40 52  SW  7  7 4 1   W 14   680  SW  7  4034 P
10/25-04  2  1  0 40 50  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 15   663  SW  7  3987 P
10/25-05  2  1  0 40 46  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 15   645  SW  7  3940 P
10/25-06  2  0  0 40 44  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 15   627  SW  7  3892 P
10/25-07  2  0  0 41 45  SW  7  7 4 1  SW 17   606  SW  7  3556 P
10/25-08  2  0  0 43 45 WSW  7  7 3 1  SW 18   586  SW  6  3220 P
10/25-09  2  0  0 47 42 WSW  7  7 3 1  SW 20   566  SW  6  2883 P
10/25-10  2  0  0 54 33  SW  6  6 3 1  SW 22  2416  SW  8 23075 P
10/25-11  2  0  0 61 25   S  5  5 4 1  SW 24  4267 SSW 10 43267  F
10/25-12  3  0  0 67 20   S  5  5 4 1  SW 26  6118   S 12 63459   G
10/25-13  3  0  0 71 16   S  5  5 4 1  SW 28  7206 SSW 13 83198   G
10/25-14  3  0  0 72 15   S  6  6 3 1  SW 29  8293 SSW 14102936    V
10/25-15  3  0  0 71 15   S  7  7 3 1  SW 30  9381  SW 15122675    V
10/25-16  3  0  0 69 17   S  7  7 3 1  SW 28  8039  SW 15104050    V
10/25-17  3  0  0 66 20   S  8  8 4 1 WSW 25  6698  SW 15 85425   G
10/25-18  9  1  0 62 24 SSE  8  8 4 1 WSW 23  5356  SW 14 66800   G
10/25-19  9  1  0 58 28   S  9  9 4 1 WSW 22  3871  SW 15 48760  F
10/25-20  9  1  0 54 31 SSW 10 15 3 1 WSW 22  2385  SW 16 30720 P
10/25-21  9  1  0 50 34 SSW 10 16 3 1 WSW 22   900  SW 16 12680 P
10/25-22  9  1  0 48 37  SW  9 15 3 1 WSW 23   819  SW 17 11916 P
10/25-23  9  1  0 47 39  SW  8  8 3 1 WSW 23   739 WSW 17 11153 P
10/26-00  7  0  0 46 42 WSW  8  8 3 1 WSW 24   658   W 18 10389 P
10/26-01  7  0  0 46 42 WSW  9  9 3 1 WSW 24   617   W 21 10677 P
10/26-02  7  0  0 45 45 WSW 10 16 3 1 WSW 23   576   W 22 10964 P
10/26-03  7  0  0 44 47 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 23   535   W 24 11252 P
10/26-04  7  0  0 43 49 WSW 12 17 3 1  SW 23   587   W 24 12020 P
10/26-05  7  0  0 41 54 WSW 10 16 2 1  SW 22   639   W 23 12788 P
10/26-06 22  0  0 41 55 WSW 10 16 2 1  SW 22   691   W 23 13557 P
10/26-07 22  0  0 42 54 WSW 10 16 2 1  SW 23  1097   W 24 23702 P
10/26-08 22  0  0 45 48 WSW 12 16 3 1  SW 24  1502   W 25 33847 P
10/26-09 22  0  0 49 42 WSW 12 17 3 1  SW 25  1908   W 26 43992  F
10/26-10 22  0  0 54 36 WSW 12 18 3 1  SW 28  3302   W 26 74071   G
10/26-11 22  0  0 58 31 WSW 13 18 2 1   W 30  4696   W 25104150    V
10/26-12 22  0  0 62 27 WSW 13 20 2 1   W 33  6090   W 25134228    V
10/26-13 22  0  0 65 24 WSW 13 18 2 1   W 36  6597   W 24140692    V
10/26-14 22  0  0 66 23 WSW 12 17 3 1   W 38  7103   W 24147155    V
10/26-15 22  0  0 65 23 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 40  7610   W 23153619     E
10/26-16 22  0  0 63 24 WSW 10 15 3 1   W 43  7000   W 25150639     E
10/26-17 22  0  0 59 27 WSW  9  9 3 1   W 46  6391 WSW 26147659    V
10/26-18 31  1  0 54 32 WSW  8  8 3 1 WSW 48  5781 WSW 29144679    V

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RTG
REQUESTED BY...ERIC ZANOTTO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141023.TROUT.01/BOU



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