Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
000
FNUS75 KBOU 011824
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR TISCHER SAR...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1224 PM MDT TUE SEP 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1134 AM MDT ON SEP 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE SAR
AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS WESTERLY WINDS BECOME A BIT STRONGER.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWERS BEGINNING THIS HOUR...THEN
A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 130 PM THIS
AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BRIEF LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAINFALL...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING. THE BEST TIME
FOR THESE STORMS WILL BE FROM 200 PM TO 700 PM TODAY. THEN LOOK FOR
CLEARING OVERNIGHT WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 130
                    PM MDT...THEN SCATTERED GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........36%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST/NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18MPH.
                    EVEN STRONGER GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 35 PERCENT AFTER 130 PM MDT

LAL.................4.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(50-60%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2000...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS OR
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........70%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST/SOUTHWEST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    WEST 10-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2100.
CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(60-65%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........31%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TISCHER SAR.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

09/01-12 70 42 19 54 50   W  8 13 2 4 WNW 14  8608 WNW 12 89670   G
09/01-13 72 42 19 55 46   W  8  8 2 4   W 13  8832   W 12 88819   G
09/01-14 76 42 19 55 42   W  7  7 2 4   W 12  9057   W 12 87806   G
09/01-15 79 53 28 56 39 WSW  7  7 2 4   W 10  9281   W 10 86631   G
09/01-16 82 53 28 57 36  SW  7  7 2 4   W 10  8703   W  9 72991   G
09/01-17 80 53 28 55 40  SW  6  6 2 4   W  9  8125   W  8 60446   G
09/01-18 80 38 16 53 45  SW  6  6 2 4   W  9  7547 WSW  7 48996  F
09/01-19 80 38 16 51 48  SW  7  7 2 4 WSW  8  7035 WSW  7 41403  F
09/01-20 80 38 16 49 50  SW  8  8 2 4 WSW  7  6524 WSW  6 34431 P
09/01-21 75 21  4 48 54  SW  8 14 2 3 WSW  6  6012 WSW  6 28080 P
09/01-22 63 21  4 47 54  SW  9 14 2 3 WSW  7  5389 WSW  7 31362 P
09/01-23 61 21  4 45 60  SW  8 13 2 3 WSW  9  4766 WSW  8 33213 P
09/02-00 53  7  1 44 60 WSW 12 18 2 1 WSW 10  4144 WSW  9 33633 P
09/02-01 53  7  1 44 60 WSW 14 22 2 1 WSW 13  3512 WSW 12 36293 P
09/02-02 53  7  1 43 62 WSW 16 25 2 1 WSW 15  2880 WSW 15 36151 P
09/02-03 46  5  1 43 62   W 18 30 2 1  SW 17  2249 WSW 17 33208 P
09/02-04 46  5  1 42 67   W 18 30 2 1 WSW 17  2369   W 18 37387 P
09/02-05 46  5  1 41 70   W 17 28 3 1   W 16  2489   W 20 41810  F
09/02-06 44  4  1 41 70   W 16 25 3 1   W 15  2609   W 21 46477  F
09/02-07 44  4  1 43 65   W 18 30 3 1   W 13  2900   W 18 47697  F
09/02-08 44  4  1 45 60   W 20 31 3 1 WNW 12  3190   W 17 48127  F
09/02-09 44  4  1 49 54   W 20 31 3 1 WNW  9  3480   W 16 47766  F
09/02-10 44  4  1 52 46 WSW 18 30 3 1 WNW 12  5013   W 15 66456   G
09/02-11 44  4  1 55 41 WSW 16 25 3 1 WNW 14  6545   W 15 83709   G
09/02-12 62 27  7 58 37 WSW 14 22 3 4 WNW 16  8078   W 14 99525   G
09/02-13 62 27  7 59 34 WSW 14 22 3 4   W 15  8376   W 14 97618   G
09/02-14 62 27  7 60 32 WSW 14 22 2 4   W 13  8674   W 13 95314   G
09/02-15 62 27  7 60 31  SW 14 22 2 4   W 10  8973   W 12 92611   G
09/02-16 62 27  7 59 32 WSW 13 21 2 4   W 10  8665   W 12 90711   G
09/02-17 62 27  7 58 33 WSW 12 18 2 4   W 12  8357 WSW 13 88719   G
09/02-18 54 24  5 56 40 WSW 12 18 2 3 WSW 12  8049 WSW 13 86637   G
09/02-19 54 24  5 54 43 WSW 13 20 2 3 WSW 12  7091 WSW 12 73623   G
09/02-20 54 24  5 52 46 WSW 14 22 2 3 WSW 12  6134 WSW 12 64101   G
09/02-21 54 11  2 50 50 WSW 15 24 2 2 WSW 12  5075 WSW 12 49901  F
09/02-22 54 11  2 48 55 WSW 15 23 2 2 WSW 12  4301 WSW 12 43636  F
09/02-23 54 11  2 47 59 WSW 14 22 3 2 WSW 12  3527 WSW 12 36888 P
09/03-00 37  5  1 45 65 WSW 14 22 3 1 WSW 12  2754   W 13 29656 P
09/03-01 37  5  1 44 67 WSW 15 24 3 1   W 12  2381   W 14 27569 P
09/03-02 37  5  1 43 69   W 17 28 3 1   W 10  2009   W 14 24879 P
09/03-03 37  5  1 42 70   W 18 30 3 1   W 10  1636   W 15 21588 P
09/03-04 37  5  1 41 73   W 17 28 3 1   W 10  1470   W 15 19730 P
09/03-05 37  5  1 41 73   W 16 25 3 1 WSW 12  1304   W 16 17797 P
09/03-06 44  6  1 41 73   W 15 24 3 1 WSW 12  1139   W 16 15789 P
09/03-07 44  6  1 43 67   W 16 26 3 1  SW 12  2021   W 16 27884 P
09/03-08 44  6  1 45 61   W 18 30 3 1 SSW 10  2903 WSW 16 39857 P
09/03-09 44  6  1 48 54   W 20 31 3 1 SSW 10  3786 WSW 16 51706  F
09/03-10 44  6  1 52 46   W 17 28 3 1 SSW 12  5419 WSW 15 70272   G
09/03-11 44  6  1 56 40 WSW 14 23 3 1  SW 12  7053 WSW 14 86580   G
09/03-12 58 25  5 58 37  SW 12 18 3 4 WSW 13  8686 WSW 14100631    V
09/03-13 58 25  5 60 34  SW 12 17 3 4 WSW 13  8965 WSW 14104144    V
09/03-14 58 25  5 60 33   S 12 18 3 4 WSW 13  9243 WSW 14107674    V
09/03-15 58 25  5 59 33   S 12 18 3 4   W 13  9522 WSW 14111222    V
09/03-16 58 25  5 58 35   S 10 17 3 4   W 13  9275 WSW 13104680    V
09/03-17 58 25  5 57 37 SSW 10 16 2 4   W 13  9029   W 13 98332   G
09/03-18 63 28  8 55 41 SSW  9 15 2 4   W 12  8782   W 12 92180   G
09/03-19 63 28  8 53 45 SSW  9 14 2 4   W 10  7458   W 10 68302   G
09/03-20 63 28  8 50 51 SSW  9 14 2 4 WNW  8  6134   W  9 47968  F
09/03-21 63 28  8 48 56  SW  9 15 2 4 WNW  7  4811   W  7 31178 P
09/03-22 63 28  8 46 60  SW  9 15 2 4   W  6  3900   W  8 26310 P
09/03-23 63 28  8 44 65  SW 10 16 3 4   W  5  2989   W  8 20958 P
09/04-00 56 10  2 43 68  SW 10 16 3 1 WSW  6  2078 WSW  8 15122 P
09/04-01 56 10  2 42 70  SW 10 17 3 1 WSW  8  1821 WSW  9 15157 P
09/04-02 56 10  2 42 70 WSW 10 17 2 1 WSW 10  1564 WSW 10 14656 P
09/04-03 56 10  2 41 73 WSW 12 17 2 1 WSW 13  1308 WSW 12 13617 P
09/04-04 56 10  2 41 73 WSW 12 18 2 1 WSW 13  1266   W 12 13229 P
09/04-05 56 10  2 40 76   W 12 18 3 1  SW 12  1225   W 12 12838 P
09/04-06 69 12  2 40 76   W 12 18 3 2  SW 10  1184   W 13 12444 P
09/04-07 69 12  2 40 77   W 12 18   2
09/04-08 69 12  2 41 75 WSW 12 18   2
09/04-09 69 12  2 44 67  SW 12 18   2
09/04-10 69 12  2 49 57  SW 12 17   2
09/04-11 69 12  2 54 48 SSW 10 17   2
09/04-12 79 37 15 57 43 SSW 10 16   4
09/04-13 79 37 15 57 44 SSW 10 16   4
09/04-14 79 37 15 55 48   S  9 15   4
09/04-15 79 37 15 53 51   S  9 14   4
09/04-16 79 37 15 52 54   S  8 14   4
09/04-17 79 37 15 50 58   S  8 13   4
09/04-18 73 28  8 48 63   S  8 13   4

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BAKER...NWS BOULDER
REQUESTED BY...ADAM BAXTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150901.TISCH.01/BOU



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.