Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
000
FNUS75 KBOU 291744
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR LONGS ANKLE SAR...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1143 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1124 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CURRENTLY
MOVING ACROSS THE PARK...WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...OUTFLOW WINDS
TO AROUND 35 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. THOUGH THIS AREA OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS WILL BE MOVING EAST OF THE AREA BY 1230 PM...OTHER
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND BRIEF
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. THERE WILL BE SOME DECREASE IN THE
ACTIVITY BY THIS EVENING...THOUGH RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1230...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL
                    1500...THEN OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-62%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
LAL.................5 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................65 PERCENT DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST AROUND 10
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LONGS ANKLE SAR.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/29-11 95 52 28 55 62   E  2  2 2 4  SE 10  6200  SE  8 42790  F
07/29-12 96 62 41 54 66 ESE  3  3 2 5 SSE 13  6384 SSE 10 56722  F
07/29-13 96 62 41 53 68 ESE  5  5 2 5 SSE 14  6063 SSE 10 54474  F
07/29-14 96 62 41 51 72 ESE  5  5 2 5 SSE 13  5742 SSE 10 52226  F
07/29-15 95 75 60 50 74 ESE  6  6 2 4 SSE 13  5421 SSE 10 49978  F
07/29-16 95 75 60 49 79   E  6  6 2 4   S 12  5216   S  9 41806  F
07/29-17 95 75 60 48 84  NE  7  7 2 4   S 10  5011   S  8 33635 P
07/29-18100 78 65 48 86 NNE  7  7 2 4 SSW  9  4806 SSW  6 25463 P
07/29-19100 78 65 47 88 NNE  7  7 2 4 SSW  9  4593 SSW  6 24013 P
07/29-20100 78 65 47 85 NNE  7  7 2 4  SW 10  4380  SW  6 22563 P
07/29-21100 78 65 46 86 NNE  7  7 2 4 WSW 10  4167 WSW  6 21113 P
07/29-22100 78 65 45 90 NNE  7  7 2 4 WSW 12  4032 WSW  7 22714 P
07/29-23100 78 65 45 92 NNE  7  7 2 4   W 13  3898 WSW  7 24315 P
07/30-00 99 69 51 44 96 NNE  7  7 2 4   W 14  3764   W  8 25916 P
07/30-01 99 69 51 44 94 NNE  7  7 2 4   W 16  3569   W  9 26884 P
07/30-02 99 69 51 43 95   N  8 13 2 4   W 18  3375   W  9 27851 P
07/30-03 99 69 51 42 96   N  8 13 2 4   W 21  3181   W 10 28819 P
07/30-04 99 69 51 41100 NNE  8 13 2 4   W 21  2986   W 10 25758 P
07/30-05 99 69 51 41100  NE  8 13 2 4   W 21  2792 WSW  9 22698 P
07/30-06 95 66 47 42100 ENE  8 13 2 5   W 20  2598 WSW  9 19637 P
07/30-07 95 66 47 44 91 ENE  8 14 2 5 WSW 17  3086  SW  8 22363 P
07/30-08 95 66 47 46 82  NE  9 14 2 5  SW 14  3574 SSW  8 25089 P
07/30-09 95 66 47 48 74  NE  9 15 2 5 SSW 10  4062   S  8 27815 P
07/30-10 95 66 47 49 74 ENE  9  9 2 5   S 12  4149   S  9 33777 P
07/30-11 95 66 47 50 75 ENE  8  8 2 5   S 14  4237 SSE 10 39739 P
07/30-12 88 70 53 50 77   E  8  8 2 5 SSE 15  4324  SE 13 45700  F
07/30-13 88 70 53 49 76   E  9  9 2 5   S 17  4104 SSE 13 44169  F
07/30-14 88 70 53 48 74  SE  9 15 2 5   S 20  3883   S 13 42638  F
07/30-15 88 70 53 47 74 SSE 10 16 2 5 SSW 22  3663   S 13 41107  F
07/30-16 88 70 53 47 75  SE 10 15 2 5 SSW 21  3681   S 14 43671  F
07/30-17 88 70 53 47 78  SE  9 15 2 5  SW 21  3698 SSW 14 46236  F
07/30-18 88 53 28 47 80 ESE  9 14 2 4  SW 21  3716 SSW 15 48800  F
07/30-19 88 53 28 45 83  SE  9 15 2 4 WSW 17  3490  SW 13 40162  F
07/30-20 88 53 28 44 82 SSE 10 15 2 4   W 13  3264  SW 10 31524 P
07/30-21 88 53 28 42 86   S 10 16 2 4   W  9  3039  SW  9 22887 P
07/30-22 88 53 28 41 91   S  9 14 2 4   W  8  2969  SW  7 18589 P
07/30-23 88 53 28 40 98 SSE  8  8 2 4   W  7  2899 WSW  6 14292 P
07/31-00 68 23  5 40100  SE  7  7 2 3 WNW  6  2828 WSW  5  9994 P
07/31-01 68 23  5 40 95   E  8  8 2 3 WNW  5  2690   W  3  7818 P
07/31-02 68 23  5 40 90 NNE  8  8 2 3 WNW  3  2551  NW  2  5642 P
07/31-03 68 23  5 39 89 NNW  9 14 2 3 WNW  2  2412   CALM  3465 P
07/31-04 68 23  5 38 94 NNW  8  8 2 3   CALM  2429   CALM  3350 P
07/31-05 68 23  5 38 98 WNW  7  7 2 3   CALM  2447   CALM  3234 P
07/31-06 73 32 11 39 96 WNW  6  6 2 4   CALM  2464   CALM  3119 P
07/31-07 73 32 11 42 81  NW  7  7 2 4   CALM  3377   N  2  7658 P
07/31-08 73 32 11 47 62   N  9  9 2 4 NNE  2  4290 NNE  3 12196 P
07/31-09 73 32 11 51 52 NNE 10 16 2 4 ENE  2  5203  NE  3 16735 P
07/31-10 73 32 11 53 52 NNE  9 15 2 4  NE  2  5587  NE  3 16563 P
07/31-11 73 32 11 54 56 NNE  8  8 2 4   N  2  5971 NNE  3 16392 P
07/31-12 76 48 24 55 59 NNE  7  7 2 4   N  2  6355 NNE  3 16221 P
07/31-13 76 48 24 55 61 NNE  7  7 2 4   N  3  6424   N  3 18862 P
07/31-14 76 48 24 55 62 NNE  7  7 2 4 NNW  6  6493   N  3 21504 P
07/31-15 76 48 24 54 64 NNE  7  7 2 4 NNW  7  6562 NNW  5 24146 P
07/31-16 76 48 24 53 66 NNE  8  8 2 4 NNW  7  6300   N  5 24940 P
07/31-17 76 48 24 51 69 NNE  8  8 2 4   N  7  6037   N  5 25735 P
07/31-18 75 41 18 49 74 NNE  9 14 2 4   N  7  5775   N  6 26529 P
07/31-19 75 41 18 47 79   N  9  9 2 4   N  7  5156   N  5 23206 P
07/31-20 75 41 18 46 83 NNW  8  8 2 4   N  7  4538   N  5 19882 P
07/31-21 75 41 18 45 86  NW  8  8 2 4   N  8  3919   N  5 16559 P
07/31-22 75 41 18 43 92  NW  8  8 2 4   N  7  3583   N  5 13259 P
07/31-23 75 41 18 43 91   W  7  7 3 4 NNW  6  3246  NW  3  9960 P
08/01-00 62 24  5 42 93   W  7  7 3 3 NNW  5  2910  NW  2  6661 P
08/01-01 62 24  5 42 90   W  7  7 3 3 NNW  5  2840 WNW  3  7847 P
08/01-02 62 24  5 42 87   W  7  7 2 3  NW  5  2770 WNW  3  9033 P
08/01-03 62 24  5 42 84   W  7  7 2 3  NW  5  2700   W  5 10219 P
08/01-04 62 24  5 41 85   W  7  7 2 3  NW  5  2760 WNW  3  9441 P
08/01-05 62 24  5 41 83   W  7  7 2 3  NW  5  2821 WNW  3  8663 P
08/01-06 64 38 16 42 79   W  7  7 2 4  NW  5  2882  NW  3  7884 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI
REQUESTED BY...RICH BROWNE
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20140729.LONGS.01/BOU



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.