Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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FNUS71 KBOX 031041
FWSBOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PATRILL HOLLOW PRESCRIBED FIRE...MA DIVISION OF FISHERIES AND WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
641 AM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JUNE 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TOMORROW UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN THE DAY IN THE LOW 50S IN WESTERN
WORCESTER COUNTY WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 40S. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO INCREASE INTO THE LOW-MID 70S BY THE AFTERNOON.
WITH DEWPOINTS REMAINING IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. THIS SUGGESTS A
MINIMUM RH VALUE AROUND 35-45 PERCENT.

SKIES WILL BEGIN THE DAY MOSTLY SUNNY...ALTHOUGH EXPECT SOME
INCREASING CLOUDS FROM THE SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
START THE DAY LIGHT AND VARIABLE...PICKING UP TO AROUND 5-10 MPH
BY LATE MORNING. WIND DIRECTION AT THE SURFACE WILL BE
PREDOMINANTLY SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY NOT EXCEED
10 MPH.

THE DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH
MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK INTO THE MID 50S.

.THURSDAY...

MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-4000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2200-15900 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.1 2.6 3.0 3.5 4.0 3.6 3.3 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   3   3   5   5   5   5   6
LVORI...............3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................8   11  14  15  17  17  17  16
VRATE KT-FT/1000....6   8   10  13  16  15  14  13

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-700 FT AGL
                    UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (400-11900 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.6 2.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   6   7   7   7   7   6   3   2   2   2   1
LVORI...............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
ADI.................M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
VRATE KT-FT/1000....12  11  1   2   3   4   3   2   1   1   1   0

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2200-3500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (700-17200 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............70  72  74  73  72  70  69  68  66  65  65  64
WEATHER COV.........PTY PTY             SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........FOG FOG             RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52  55  58  61  64  67  69  71  72  73  73  72
RH..................93  86  77  72  65  61  59  55  55  55  55  59
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5               5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.6 0.9 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.0 2.6 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....1   1   1   2   3   5   5   6   6   7   7   8
LVORI...............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
ADI.................M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   1   3   6   9   12  14  17  17  16  15

$$
FORECASTER...WTB/DOODY
REQUESTED BY...REBECCA DIGIROLOMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150604.PATRI.01/BOX



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