Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 040443
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK...WYOMING STATE FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
1043 PM MDT MON AUG 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2144 MDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW SHOWERS WERE SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE AND TRYING TO WORK
NORTHWARD. THESE SHOWERS WERE WEAKENING AS THEY WORK NORTH BUT
WERE PUTTING SOME GUSTY WINDS DOWN. EXPECT POSSIBLE WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH FROM THE EAST THROUGH 1 AM. OTHERWISE SHOWERS WILL INCREASE
IN COVERAGE BY LATE MORNING WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BY MORNING. THE STORMS WILL CONTAIN LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. THE STORMS WILL REDEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON
WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE SITE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
SWITCH WINDS FROM UP CANYON TO WEST AND NORTHWEST WITH SOME GUSTS
TO 24 MPH. THE WINDS WILL BE ERRATIC IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT
BATTLES UP CANYON TENDENCIES. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE
COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES. THERE WILL BE
ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. TWH

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING...INCREASING
                    IN COVERAGE TOWARD MORNING.
CWR.................19 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWN CANYON 5 TO 10 MPH. ERRATIC WINDS UNTIL
                    1 AM WITH POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH
                    WITH SHOWERS TO THE SOUTH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................4...16 TO 25 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UP CANYON 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE MORNING. WINDS
                    BECOMING WEST AND NORTHWEST WITH SOME GUSTS TO
                    24 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE ERRATIC
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING. WINDS
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................26 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH GUSTS TO 24
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................19 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UP CANYON 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

$$
FORECASTER...HUMPHREY
REQUESTED BY...IC - TRAVIS FACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150803.SHEEP.01/BYZ



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