Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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FNUS75 KBYZ 051502
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR YARGER BUTTE--BOBCAT UNIT...FORT HOWES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
902 AM MDT THU MAY 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT A COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH THE BURN SITE EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING...BETWEEN 7 AM AND 9 AM. THIS WILL SHIFT WINDS FROM THE
WEST TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE WINDS SPEEDS TO 10 TO 20 MPH. THE
BURN AREA WILL SEE ONLY AN ISOLATED CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
MAINLY AFTER 3 PM AND LINGERING INTO THE MID EVENING. THE MAIN
IMPACT WILL BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...WHICH COULD IMPACT THE
BURN SITE EVEN IF THE THUNDERSTORMS DO NOT. A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY...WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO
THE EAST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. REIMER

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (MDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............67  69  73  74  75  76  74  73
RH..............44  41  40  40  40  41  42  44
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..12  12  14  14  15  15  15  15
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20  25  25  25
RIDGE WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
RIDGE WIND SPD..18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................40.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL IN THE EVENING
                    DECREASING TO 1...NO THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................15.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

$$
FORECASTER...REIMER/CHAMBERS
REQUESTED BY...MATT HARDING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160506.YARGE.01/BYZ



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