Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
000
FNUS71 KCTP 011535
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLA WILDFIRE TRAININING...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1135 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1044 EDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
IT WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY AS A LARGE
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS EAST OF THE COMMONWEALTH. A FEW
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AS COOL AIR ALOFT TRACKS OVERHEAD...BUT MOST
AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THINGS DRY TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE AREA LATER FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY. IT WILL TURN BREEZY
AND COOLER BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND SOME LAKE ENHANCED SHOWERS OVER THE
NORTHWEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3700-4800 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............95  94  93  91  85  79  77  77  77  77
WEATHER COV.........ARS ARS ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE........FOG FOG RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52  53  55  57  60  62  64  65  66  66
RH..................100 100 92  86  81  75  70  67  65  63
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......1   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....        5       5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.9 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.8 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   6   3   3   5   5   5   5   5
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1500 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............74  68  65  64  62  59  57  54  53  55  58  60
WEATHER COV.........ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  62  60  58  57  58  56  56  56  55  55  54
RH..................69  76  83  90  91  89  92  93  92  93  93  94
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.7 2.6 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   6   6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100-4800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............62  66  68  67  64  63  62  59  57  54  48  44
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................53  53  55  58  60  62  64  66  68  70  71  69
RH..................100 100 91  84  80  75  71  67  64  60  58  62
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   5   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5       5   5               10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.4 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.4 4.7 4.8 4.6 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/GARTNER
REQUESTED BY...JOE MILLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20141001.OLAWI.01/CTP


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.