Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 030407
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TORRESON WPA...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1107 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT IN THE MORNING BUT INCREASE FROM THE WEST INTO
THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 35 PERCENT
BY MID AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1100-1300 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........32     15     6      3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............52     49     46     45
RH..............62     68     73     76
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 5   WSW 6  WSW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 4   SW 4   WSW 4  WSW 4
EYE LVL WND GST.
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......W 5    WSW 6  W 6    W 6
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1300-12900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (152400-178200 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2   2   4   9   14  18  23  25  28  33  39  44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44  45  50  55  59  62  63  64  66  67  69  69
RH..............79  76  66  59  53  48  46  45  42  39  36  37
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   WNW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   8   13  15  15  16  16  17  18  18  18
20 FT WIND GUST.        15  15  20  20  20  25  25  30  30  30
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   WNW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   6   9   11  11  11  11  12  13  13  13
EYE LVL WND GST.        15  15  20  20  20  25  25  30  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 1.5 2.8 4.1 4.8 5.4 6.0 6.6 7.2 7.8 7.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..WSW WSW W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   WNW
MIXNG WIND SPD..6   7   9   13  16  17  18  20  22  24  26  28
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...COGIL
REQUESTED BY...CHAD LORETH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.TORRE.01/DMX



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