Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FNUS74 KFWD 201306
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Caddo RX...USFS
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
806 AM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on October 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Cooler and mostly cloudy conditions will prevail today which will
hold RH values in the upper 50s at a minimum. There are slight
chances for rain showers or perhaps an isolated thunderstorm
throughout the day. The most likely chance for rain at the fire
site would be after 2 PM lasting into the early evening, although
constant widespread rain is unlikely. With limited heating, mixing
heights will likely only reach 3 to 3.5 kft at most this afternoon.
Winds will remain out of the southeast through tomorrow.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500-1600 ft AGL increasing to 2600-3700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 23 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 24 mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  78  78  78  78  81  84  87  86
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............64  67  71  74  76  76  76  77  76
RH..............78  73  66  64  62  62  64  62  64
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   10  10  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.        10          14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.6 2.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.14  16  18  21  22  23  24  24  24

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    slight chance of showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......1200-2700 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 24 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........86  85  80  76  71  70  69  67  70  73  76  76
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC ISO ISO ISO
Temp............74  73  69  68  67  67  66  66  67  66  66  66
RH..............71  73  84  84  87  87  90  90  87  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.                                    10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 2.3 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.24  23  22  21  20  20  20  20  20  18  18  18

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning, then chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......600-2400 ft AGL increasing to 3400-4800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 26 mph increasing to 24 to 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  75  76  76  77  78  79  81  76  72  67  70
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............66  66  66  67  69  73  75  78  80  81  81  80
RH..............97  97  100 97  93  81  79  71  67  63  63  65
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  10  12  13  13  14  14  14  14  13
20 FT wind gust.10  10          14  17  17  18  18  18  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 2.4 3.4 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.8 3.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.18  18  20  20  21  23  26  29  30  30  28  24

$$
Forecaster...Stalley
Requested by...Jerry Anderson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717530.1/FWD
.EMAIL jerryanderson@fs.fed.us



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