Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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FNUS72 KGSP 201728
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for Silver Run...NCFS
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1228 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EST on February 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Warm high pressure will move over the area through the early part of
the week, bringing temperatures close to record highs. A cold front
will bring a chance for some modest rainfall over the area by mid
week, followed by brief drying, before a frontal system arrives next
weekend with rain and thunder chances.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south around 5 mph early
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 5 mph...becoming southeast
                    around 3 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1000 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6.
Stability class.....2.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........25000.
Visibility (SM).....10.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.52.

TIME (EST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  24  33  32  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............61  63  65  64  63
Dewpoint........38  39  40  41  41
RH..............42  41  40  42  45
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.5   5   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............7   7   8   8   7
VRate kt-ft/10005   5   5   5   5
Ceiling (hft)...250 250 250 250 250
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10
Sfc pres (in)...756 756 755 754 755

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers late.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1800 ft AGL...increasing to 2300-2900 ft
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 14 mph...becoming south 14 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (1300-46800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................9...increasing to 25 late in the morning...then
                    increasing to 41 in the late morning and early
                    afternoon...decreasing to 31 late.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........20800...decreasing to 3200 late in the
                    morning.
Visibility (SM).....9 in the morning.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.41.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  69  71  74  76  77  79  80  82  85  87  89
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  45  48  51  53  56  57  58  59  59  59  57
Dewpoint........41  42  43  43  43  43  42  43  43  43  45  45
RH..............87  90  82  74  67  62  57  56  55  56  59  64
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   7   10  14  17  18  20  18  17  16  15  14
LVORI...........5   6   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
ADI.............4   5   13  25  38  41  45  43  40  36  33  29
VRate kt-ft/10001   2   9   22  38  43  47  46  42  38  34  28
Ceiling (hft)...208 208 208 32  24  32  32  32  32  32  32  32
Visibility (sm).10  10  9   10  10  10  10
Sfc pres (in)...753 752 753 754 755 753 751 750 747 744 742 741

$$
Forecaster...Rodney Hinson
Requested by...Benji Reece
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702502.0/GSP


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