Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FNUS73 KICT 240409
FWSICT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDFIRE NW NEW CAMBRIA...SALINE COUNY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1109 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2258 CDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF A POTENT COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE BECOMING NORTHERLY AFTER THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE DURING THE OVER NIGHT HOURS. IN ADDITION TO THE
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS...ENHANCED AND STRONGER GUSTS MAY OCCUR DUE
TO COLLAPSING SHOWERS...BUT THIS ENHANCED EFFECT SHOULD SUBSIDE BY
MIDNIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...THE HIGHEST
CONFIDENCE IS FOR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE INTO THE AREA
IS BETWEEN 2 AND 4 AM.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
CWR.................13 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN DECREASING TO 53 PERCENT LATE
                    IN THE NIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 25 TO 29 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........81  89  96  91  86  82  77  72
WEATHER COV.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............67  60  59  57  56  55  53  53
RH..............58  83  86  91  94  96  98  96
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD..13  13  12  11  10  10  9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.30  30  30  25  25  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.4 1.0
MIXNG WIND DIR..S   S   SW  SW  NW  NW  NW  NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..35  32  30  30  29  29  26  25
CWR.............10  20  90  90  90  50  60  50
HAINES INDEX....4   3   3   3   2   2   3   3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600-8200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 22 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO 18 TO 20
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........67     53     38     24     18     12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     57     64     69     72     73
RH..............95     65     42     29     25     25
20 FT WIND......NW 9   NW 11  NW 12  NW 11  NW 11  NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     30     25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....600    2500   4800   7500   8000   7900
MIXNG WIND......NW 24  NW 29  NW 31  NW 28  NW 24  NW 20
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      5      5      6      6      6

$$
FORECASTER...BILLINGS WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140423.WILDF.01/ICT






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