Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS72 KILM 231044
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLY SHELTER...NC WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
544 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0605 EST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS
NORTHERN THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE LOW WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE ALONG
THE CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT... BRINGING HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INTO EARLY SATURDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY...BEFORE AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT
BRINGS BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED LATE WEEK AS DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE GULF STATES.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW TO MODERATE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    RAIN LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 900-2300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 14 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............92     97     98     99     100    100
WEATHER COV.........       S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................44     46     50     54     56     56
RH..................89     92     83     74     71     74
20 FT WIND..........NE 6   NE 6   E 6    E 6    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........200    600    1500   2200   2100   1200
TRANSPORT WIND......NE 14  NE 14  E 14   E 14   E 14   E 14

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...CASEY PHILLIPS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150123.HOLLY.01/ILM






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