Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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000
FNUS74 KLIX 232224
FWSLIX

Spot Forecast for CPT G-05...SANDHILL CRANE
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
424 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Onshore flow is in place for the weekend. This will keep
moisture levels high along with the chance for showers and
storms. A cold front will move across the central Gulf
Coast Sunday into Monday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Dewpoint............69.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height (m)...213-244 meters AGL.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 5 to 6 meters/second.
LVORI...............6.
Rainfall amount.....0.04 inches.
Fog Potential.......Patchy light.

TIME (CST)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70  57  57  58  62  65  67  69  72  72  71  70  70
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............73  73  72  72  72  72  72  71  71  70  70  70  70
Dewpoint........66  69  69  69  70  69  69  69  69  69  69  68  68
RH..............79  89  90  92  95  92  92  93  92  95  95  95  95
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Trans wind dir..SSE SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).8   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
LVORI...........4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Dewpoint............69.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height (m)...213-579 meters AGL increasing to 671-823 meters
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second increasing to around
                    9 meters/second in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Rainfall amount.....0.08 inches.
Fog Potential.......none.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  73  78  78  79  79  79  78  76  75  74  74
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............71  72  74  76  78  79  79  80  80  79  78  76
Dewpoint........68  68  69  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
RH..............92  87  84  82  78  75  74  72  72  74  76  82
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  15  15  15
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
LVORI...........5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Dewpoint............69.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height (m)...213-274 meters AGL.
Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 7 meters/second.
LVORI...............5.
Rainfall amount.....0.12 inches.
Fog Potential.......patchy light fog possible.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........74  73  73  72  71  68  69  70  71  71  74  81
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  40  40  40  40  40  40
Temp............75  74  73  72  72  72  72  72  72  71  71  70
Dewpoint........70  70  70  70  70  69  69  69  69  69  69  69
RH..............83  87  89  93  92  90  90  90  90  93  93  95
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  10  10  15  15  15  15  10  10  10
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
LVORI...........4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Dewpoint............67.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height (m)...183-701 meters AGL.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 7 meters/second.
LVORI...............5.
Rainfall amount.....0.33 inches.
Fog Potential.......none.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........85  85  86  86  87  89  89  89  87  86  88  91
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  60  60  60  60  70  70  70  70  70  70
Temp............70  71  73  74  75  75  75  75  75  75  74  71
Dewpoint........69  69  68  68  68  67  67  67  67  67  67  66
RH..............95  92  86  82  79  76  75  74  74  76  80  86
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  SW  SSW SSW S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SSW SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   4   7   7   7   7   7   7
LVORI...........6   5   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   4   4   4

.Remarks...
1) See fog descriptor in each segment above.
2) Steady state onshore flow is expected for the duration of this spot.
   Any augmentation is accounted in the hourly projections.
3) Rain likely to onset around 7 pm for an hour or two this evening, then
   intermittent coverage too difficult to detail beyond 9 pm. Not likely
   that rain will hold off until late Saturday afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...RICKS
Requested by...Scott Saucier
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802449.0/LIX
.EMAIL SCOTT_SAUCIER@FWS.GOV


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