Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 241844
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1144 AM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1101 PDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL
BEGIN TO DIG SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS
ANOTHER LOW APPROACHES ALONG 30 N LATITUDE. A DEEP MARINE LAYER
WILL PERSIST OVER THE AREA TONIGHT...AND WHILE THE REFUGIO SPOT
AREA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLEAR THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT A
LOW CLOUD DECK COULD MOVE ACROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 5 AM THROUGH 11
AM MONDAY MORNING. PATCHY FOG WILL AFFECT SOME OF THE RIDGES ABOVE
THE INCIDENT AREA. MAINLY WEAK NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WILL
AFFECT PASSES AND CANYONS THIS NEAR REFUFIO LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE IN THE EVENING. LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW WILL
FOLLOW...BECOMING WEAK SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST MONDAY AFTERNOON.

SMALL BUT LONG PERIOD SWELL FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST MAY MAKE
IT THROUGH THE ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SWELL AND SURF IS EXPECTED MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY AS A MIX OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS MOVE THROUGH THE
WATERS.

AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK...THERE
IS A CHANCE THAT THE MARINE LAYER MAY BECOME SHALLOW ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITIES ONE NM OR LESS DURING THE
NIGHT THROUGH MORNING HOURS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 85-89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........1800-2200: NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS
                    8 TO 12 MPH.
                    2200-0300: VARIABLE 3 TO 6 MPH.
                    0300-0600: SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 1 TO 2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........10 SECONDS.
SECONDARY SWELL.....SOUTH AT 1 FOOT.
SECOND SWELL PD.....16 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1-3 FEET AT 7 SECONDS IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING 1 FOOT OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TIDE INFORMATION....LOW TIDE AT 1044 PM PDT...HEIGHT 2.8 FT.
                    HIGH TIDE AT 338 AM PDT...HEIGHT 3.7 FT.

.MEMORIAL DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66-68.
RH..................MIN 52-56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1100: SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
                    1100-1800: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 1-3 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........11 SECONDS.
SECOND SWELL........SOUTH AT 1 FOOT.
SECOND SWELL PD.....16 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY BUILDING TO AROUND 1 FOOT.
TIDE INFORMATION....LOW TIDE AT 1038 AM PDT...HEIGHT 0.9 FT.
                    HIGH TIDE AT 600 PM PDT...HEIGHT 4.2 FT.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150524.REFUG.02/LOX


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