Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 171156
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH PRAIRIE RX...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
756 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO
CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY ALLOWING FOR THE STEERING FLOW TO BE
SOUTHWEST OVER THE BURN SITE. THE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS
MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. THE TRANSPORT
WINDS WILL ALSO BE LIGHT THIS MORNING INCREASING TO AROUND 10 KNOTS
THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE DISPERSION INDEX FOR THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BE IN THE MID 20S.

THE WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWEST INTO THE LAKE
OKEECHOBEE REGION WHICH WILL KEEP A LIGHT SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW OVER
THE BURN SITE. THERE COULD BE A FEW SHOWERS THIS EVENING BEFORE GOING
DRY OVER THE BURN SITE. AT THIS TIME...WE DO NOT EXPECT ANY FOG DEVELOP
OVER THE BURN SITE FOR TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 0 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....1...INCREASING TO 26.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........49     50     50     67     66     66
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............78     86     89     83     81     79
RH..............80     61     55     65     72     77
20 FT WIND......SW 0   SW 2   SW 2   W 5    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   2700   2700   4000   3500   3500
MIXNG WIND......SW 0   SW 5   SW 5   W 9    W 9    W 9
DISPERSION IDX..1      15     15     24     26     26
LVORI...........5      2      2      2      3      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     40     40     40
LAL.............2      2      2      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 59 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15...INCREASING TO 23 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BAXTER
REQUESTED BY...JEFF CUMMINGS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140917.SOUTH.01/MFL



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