Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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107
FNUS76 KMFR 170506
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Deuce RX...USFS
National Weather Service Medford OR
1006 PM PDT Mon Oct 16 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 PDT on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
We are in the transition from the warm and dry conditions to a wetter
and cooler pattern, but it will take a few days. Expect gradually
decreasing temperatures and increasing humidities each day, along
with slightly weaker inversions each morning. The inversions should
top out at around 6500 feet in elevation, and will break between 10
and 11 AM local time. Southwest winds will increase Wednesday, and
will become gusty by Thursday ahead of an approaching front, and
wetting rains are expected to move in over the burn site by
Thursday night.


.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming
                    sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........Around 17 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....South to southeast around 3 mph in the morning,
                    becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........South to southeast around 5 mph in the morning,
                    becoming southwest 8-10 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Less than 500 ft AGL in the morning, increasing
                    to 4500-5000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph in the morning, becoming
                    west around 15 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........Around 75 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....South to southeast 2-4 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........South to southeast 5-7 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to around 500 ft AGL in the
                    evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........Around 22 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Southeast around 4 mph in the morning, becoming
                    southwest 7-9 mph in the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........Southeast 5-7 mph in the morning, becoming
                    southwest 12-14 mph with gusts up to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 5000-5500 ft AGL by afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 8 mph in the morning, increasing
                    to around 24 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...NIEUWENHUIS
Requested by...Mitchell Ishida
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1716989.6/MFR



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