Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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927
FNUS76 KMFR 030511
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER MOUNTAIN...BLY RANGER DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1011 PM PDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INCREASES TODAY, AND A
STRONGER DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL PRODUCE MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE COOLEST AND WETTEST DAY
AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES THROUGH. UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL CONTINUES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THE
UPPER LOW SLOWLY MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS TO 2 MPH INCREASING TO 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 28 MPH.
CWR.................14 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING EAST WINDS TO 2 MPH LATE NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
CWR.................16 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 2 MPH LATE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
CWR.................69 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...ERIC KNERR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.JUNIP.01/MFR



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