Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 261041
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for C 16 North Flybus Rd...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
641 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on March 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will extend over the area from offshore through
early next week. A cold front will move through early Wednesday.
A warm front will move through from the southwest Friday followed
by a cold front Saturday night.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 5 to 10 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......Max 5600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 51979 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 10.
ADI.................Max 42.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.20 to 30.26 inHg.

TIME (EDT)         7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............58  60  59  58  57  55  50  47  46  43  42
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............53  55  58  63  67  69  71  72  73  74  72
RH.................100 100 90  75  65  61  57  55  50  48  52
20 FT wind dir.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd.....0   0   2   3   5   6   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust....            5               15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)......0.3 0.3 1.6 3.0 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4
Transp wind dir....SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd....2   2   5   8   10  10  10  9   9   9   9
LVORI..............9   10  5   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI................2   2   10  25  30  32  42  40  39  39  39
Haines index.......5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5
VRate mph-ft/1000..0   1   8   24  46  51  52  52  50  49  50
Stability class....F   F   F   F   E   C   B   B   B   B   B

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 mph...becoming light.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 2070 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Min 4.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.16 to 30.22 inHg.

TIME (EDT)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............40  37  35  34  32  31  32  34  35  35  35  36
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............70  66  63  62  61  60  59  59  58  57  56  56
RH.................57  65  72  75  78  81  83  83  86  86  96  96
20 FT wind dir.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd.....6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   3
20 FT wind gust....                                        5   5
Mix hgt (kft)......3.8 2.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd....9   10  10  9   8   8   9   10  12  12  12  10
LVORI..............1   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
ADI................35  5   5   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
Haines index.......5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRate mph-ft/1000..36  22  5   4   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
Stability class....B   B   B   B   B   B   F   F   F   F   F   F

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 4600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 34500 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Max 31.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.06 to 30.18 inHg.

TIME (EDT)         6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)............34     31     39     40     38     31
Weather cov........
Weather type.......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............56     58     64     69     72     73
RH.................90     83     70     62     50     48
20 ft wind.........S 3    S 3    S 4    S 5    S 6    S 8
20 ft wind gust....5      5      5                    15
Mix hgt (ft).......300    300    2800   4300   4600   4400
Transport wind.....S 9    S 7    SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 7
LVORI..............6      4      3      2      2      2
ADI................4      7      18     21     23     28
Haines index.......4      4      4      4      4      4
VRate mph-ft/1000..2      2      17     24     26     31
Stability class....F      F      F      B      B      B

$$
Forecaster...Elardo
Requested by...David Nelson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705216.0/MHX
.EMAIL Davidnelson@fs.fed.us


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