Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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Spot Forecast for C 5 Briery Branch...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
454 AM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and breezy conditions continue Monday, but fire weather
concerns should remain low until fuels have time to dry out
again. Another coastal low is becoming increasingly likely
mid to late next week, bringing the potential for heavy rain
and strong winds.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy frost early in the morning.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 16 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 42205 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Max 48.
Stability class.....2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.18 to 30.25 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   8   8   12  11  9   11  13  9
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FST
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............37  44  48  51  54  57  59  60  61  60
RH..............89  70  63  59  54  51  47  46  44  44
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   8   9   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.    14  14  14  14  17  17  17  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.6 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.1 2.9
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N
Transp wind spd.13  16  16  14  13  13  12  13  13  14
LVORI...........5   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............13  33  48  43  40  40  37  42  41  43
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.6   26  42  39  37  38  35  41  40  40
Sfc pres (in)...023 024 025 025 025 024 022 021 019 018

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing Height.......Min 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 14 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 4715 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 7.
ADI.................Min 5.
Stability class.....4.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.14 to 30.21 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  20  14  17  18  16  32  34  26  47  61  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  54  50  47  44  43  42  41  41  41  41  41
RH..............51  57  66  71  76  79  82  89  92  92  96  96
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   6   6   5   5   4   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  14          5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.7
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.14  13  13  14  13  12  12  12  12  10  10  10
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   4   4   6   6   6   7   7
ADI.............42  8   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.37  6   6   6   6   5   6   5   6   5   5   8
Sfc pres (in)...018 018 019 020 020 021 019 017 016 015 014 014

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon, then shifting
                    to the east around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 18285 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Max 23.
Stability class.....4.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.02 to 30.16 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........72     75     54     43     28     26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............41     42     51     58     63     65
RH..............100    96     77     64     56     54
20 ft wind......N 3    N 3    NE 4   NE 4   NE 5   E 4
20 ft wind gust.5      5      9      9      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....800    900    1600   2000   2300   2500
Transport wind..NE 10  NE 9   NE 9   NE 7   N 6    NE 7
LVORI...........9      6      3      2      2      2
ADI.............5      11     19     18     17     20
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.8      9      14     14     13     16
Sfc pres (in)...30.14  30.16  30.15  30.13  30.08  30.03

$$
Forecaster...Jain
Requested by...David Nelson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408349.0/MHX
.DELDT 03/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.l.nelson@usda.gov


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