Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 221034
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for C 29...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
534 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EST on February 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will remain east of the region through Friday. A
cold front will move through on Saturday. High pressure will build
in Sunday and Monday then slide offshore Tuesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Patchy fog early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 5200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 53704 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Max 44.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.92 to 30.01 inHg.

TIME (EST)         6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............59  56  53  47  44  46  51  53  55  59  61  62
Weather cov........PTY
Weather type.......FOG
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............51  52  55  59  63  66  68  70  71  71  71  69
RH.................100 96  90  80  72  65  61  57  55  57  57  61
20 FT wind dir.....E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd.....5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust....                        10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)......1.0 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.1 3.8 4.5 5.2 4.5 3.8 3.1 2.4
Transp wind dir....E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd....5   6   7   9   10  10  10  10  10  9   8   7
LVORI..............9   7   6   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   2
ADI................4   4   6   7   8   29  39  44  41  38  34  24
Haines index.......5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRate mph-ft/1000..1   1   3   5   8   24  40  54  51  47  42  24
Stability class....E   E   E   F   F   F   C   C   C   C   C   C

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph until early
                    morning...becoming light.
Mixing height.......Min 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 6 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 804 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 7.
ADI.................Min 1.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.90 to 29.95 inHg.

TIME (EST)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............63  64  67  74  77  76  73  71  72  74  75  77
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............66  64  62  61  60  59  59  58  57  57  56  56
RH.................65  70  75  81  84  87  83  86  90  90  93  93
20 FT wind dir.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd.....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust....    5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)......1.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd....6   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI..............3   3   4   5   5   6   5   6   6   7   7   7
ADI................4   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   1
Haines index.......3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRate mph-ft/1000..11  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Stability class....C   B   B   B   B   B   F   F   F   F   F   F

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 3500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 9 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 32314 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Max 24.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.88 to 29.95 inHg.

TIME (EST)         6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)............79     77     68     59     56     50
Weather cov........
Weather type.......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............55     57     63     67     69     69
RH.................96     96     84     73     66     66
20 ft wind.........E 2    E 3    E 4    SE 5   SE 5   SE 5
20 ft wind gust....       5      5
Mix hgt (ft).......1000   1400   2300   3100   3100   2300
Transport wind.....NE 3   E 5    SE 7   SE 9   SE 8   SE 6
LVORI..............8      8      4      3      3      3
ADI................2      3      8      19     21     19
Haines index.......4      4      4      4      4      4
VRate mph-ft/1000..1      1      2      22     29     18
Stability class....F      F      F      C      C      B

$$
Forecaster...Collins
Requested by...David L. Nelson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702599.0/MHX
.EMAIL Davidnelson@fs.fed.us



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