Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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FNUS73 KMKX 141358
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Spot Forecast for Spring Green Bluffs...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
758 AM CST Wed Feb 14 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on February 14.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Clear skies are expected this morning, with gradually increasing
clouds by later this afternoon. Southwest winds will be light at
ignition, then gradually increase as the rest of the day goes on.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........25 at ignition...Max 42.
RH..................88 percent at ignition...Min 70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming
                    southwest 5 to 8 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 300-900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 16 mph increasing to 18 to 20
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /2600 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /13200 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........6 or high at ignition...max 6.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   12  16  20  17  24  30  35  40  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............25  28  31  34  37  39  41  42  41  39
RH..............88  85  81  82  79  76  73  70  73  76
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   6   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   14  13  13  14  16  18  18  18  20
Haines index....6   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/10003   7   7   7   9   11  13  13  12  11

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Patchy fog after midnight. Patchy freezing fog
                    early in the morning.
Temperature.........Min 29.
RH..................Max 92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
                    the evening.
Mixing height.......400-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 22 mph decreasing to around 8 mph
                    early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2400-20700 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........48  49  50  50  51  51  53  55  58  62  66  70
Weather cov.....                        PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....                        FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............37  36  36  36  36  35  35  34  33  32  31  30
RH..............82  85  85  85  85  89  89  92  92  92  92  92
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   9   9   8   7   7   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.21  21  20  18  18  18  20  22  21  16  13  8
Haines index....5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   5   5   5   4
SDspl kt-ft/100014  14  11  9   9   11  14  21  20  12  5   2

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog early in the morning.
Temperature.........Max 40.
RH..................Min 72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming northwest 5 to 6
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2000-17000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........74  81  84  84  85  83  82  80  76  74  77  84
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............30  30  31  33  33  35  37  39  40  40  40  39
RH..............88  92  88  85  89  85  82  79  76  76  73  73
20 FT wind dir..W   W   SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.    5   5   5   5   5   5   5               10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N
Transp wind spd.7   9   10  8   8   7   7   8   9   15  15  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10002   3   4   4   4   4   4   6   8   16  17  15

$$
Forecaster...Wood
Requested by...Eric Mark
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1801937.0/MKX
.EMAIL emark@tnc.org


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