Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 171343
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAMB ISLAND...SFWMD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
843 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WELL EAST OF THE STATE WILL KEEP A LIGHT
SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE BURN AREA TODAY. AS WINDS INCREASE.
DISPERSION WILL RISE FROM FAIR TO GOOD, WITH THE MINIMUM RH VALUE A
LITTLE BELOW 50 PERCENT. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT
TO CALM BY THIS EVENING WITH AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT,
AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SETTLING OF SMOKE NEAR THE BURN ZONE TO BECOME
FAIRLY WIDESPREAD.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH INCREASING TO 14 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 INCREASING TO 50 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON, DECREASING 25 TOWARD SUNSET.
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........40  42  42  42  44  44  44  44  44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............67  71  74  76  79  79  80  80  76
RH..............76  71  63  58  52  52  50  51  58
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   8   8   8   7   7   6   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.8   10  10  10  9   9   8
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.4 2.4 2.4 4.1 4.1 4.1 3.6 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  14  13  10  9   9   9   6   6
DISPERSION IDX..30  46  52  51  46  41  35  27  19
LVORI...........3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 DECREASING TO 1 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 10.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........44     39     39     39     27     27
WEATHER COV.....                            AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
TEMP............73     67     63     61     59     59
RH..............65     80     90     94     99     96
20 FT WIND......SE 3   SE 2   SE 2   SE 1   SE 1   S 1
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   500    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 1   S 1
DISPERSION IDX..11     1      1      1      1      1
LVORI...........3      6      7      8      10     9

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 18.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 3.

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........27        30        30        19
WEATHER COV.....AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....FOG       NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
TEMP............58        67        76        80
RH..............96        81        62        51
20 FT WIND......S 1       S 5       SW 5      SW 3G5
MIX HGT (FT)....300       300       2100      3700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 1       S 2       S 7       SW 5
DISPERSION IDX..1         5         17        21
LVORI...........9         5         2         2

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...GENE COLWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700461.0/MLB
.EMAIL GCOLWELL@SFWMD.GOV



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