Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 270842
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for LW 10/15...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
342 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on February 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Southeast winds will increase to 10 to 15 mph this afternoon with
increasing cloud cover from around noon into late afternoon. There
will be a slight chance for a light rain shower during the afternoon
hours. Transport winds will increase to 15 to 18 mph with good dispersion
by afternoon. A low shower chance will linger into early evening then dry
weather is expected. High boundary layer moisture and light southeast
winds will support fog formation after midnight.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) in the morning becoming
                    partly cloudy by afternoon. Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......200-1900 ft AGL increasing to 3000-4500 ft AGL
                    late in the morning, then decreasing to 2400 ft
                    AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast 12 to
                    18 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 22 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 41 late in the morning increasing
                    to 61 late in the morning decreasing to 48
                    decreasing to 35 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 4 early in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 1 late in the morning increasing
                    to 3 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  21  21  49  49  49  58  58  58  50  50
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  63  67  72  75  78  81  80  80  80  77
RH..............93  84  79  71  66  61  57  59  60  60  67
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   7   9   12  13  13  13  13  12  10  9
20 FT wind gust.        10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.7 1.2 1.9 3.0 3.9 4.4 4.5 4.2 3.5 2.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.5   8   14  17  18  17  16  16  15  14  12
Dispersion idx..2   7   22  41  59  63  63  64  57  48  35
LVORI...........6   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening. Patchy fog after
                    midnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....14 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 8.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........50     39     39     39     50     50
Weather cov.....S CHC                       PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............75     71     68     67     66     66
RH..............73     83     90     94     97     97
20 ft wind......E 7    E 6    SE 6   SE 3   SE 3   SE 3
20 ft wind gust.                     5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   300    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..E 8    E 6    SE 6   SE 3   SE 3   SE 3
Dispersion idx..14     3      3      2      2      2
LVORI...........3      5      6      7      8      8

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......300-1600 ft AGL increasing to 3200-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 7 mph increasing to 10 to 14 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 23 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 40 late in the morning increasing
                    to 53 late in the morning increasing to 65
                    decreasing to 50 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........50        52        52        48
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG       NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        10        10
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............66        72        80        84
RH..............97        84        65        55
20 FT wind......SE 3G5    SE 6      SE 8G10   SE 8G10
Mix hgt (ft)....300       1600      3800      4600
Transport wind..SE 5      SE 12     SE 12     SE 13
Dispersion idx..2         23        55        68
LVORI...........7         4         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Volkmer
Requested by...Benjamin Bandor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702948.0/MLB
.EMAIL ben.bandor@dep.state.fl.us



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