Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 181243
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AF BASE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
743 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JUNE 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SMALL AREA OF RAIN WILL MOVE OVER THE BURN SITE THROUGH
9 AM. AFTERWARD...THERE WILL LIKELY BE A BREAK IN PRECIPITATION DURING
THE REST OF THE MORNING HOURS...WITH A CHANCE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
NEAR THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS A WEAK FRONT MOVES
INTO THE AREA. BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL YIELD GOOD AFTERNOON
DISPERSIONS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO
                    14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 4700 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 77.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 1.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........45     47     47     50     50
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............80     85     89     90     90
RH................80     66     59     56     56
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     SW     SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      11     11     12     10
20 FT WIND GUST...       18     18     20     17
MIX HGT (FT)......1500   2900   2900   4200   4700
MIX HGT (M).......460    880    880    1280   1430
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     SW     SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...18     21     21     22     22
TRANS SPD (M/S)...8      9      9      10     10
DISPERSION........35     63     63     62     77
LVORI.............3      1      1      1      1
CWR...............40     40     40     40     40

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 22 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 10
                    MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....77 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........50     70     70     70     82     82
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............88     83     78     77     76     75
RH................61     72     83     87     89     89
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     SW     SW     SW     SW     W
20 FT WIND SPD....10     7      5      5      5      3
20 FT WIND GUST...17
MIX HGT (FT)......4700   2300   1400   1400   400    400
MIX HGT (M).......1430   700    430    430    120    120
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     SW     SW     SW     W
TRANSP WIND SPD...22     21     20     20     16     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...10     9      9      9      7      4
DISPERSION........77     28     17     17     11     5
LVORI.............1      3      4      4      5      6
CWR...............40     40     40     40     50     50

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    6 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........82     71     71     71     71     71
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............74     79     84     87     89     89
RH................92     81     69     61     58     57
20 FT WIND DIR....W      NW     NW     NW     W      W
20 FT WIND SPD....3      3      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......400    1100   2200   2200   3300   3300
MIX HGT (M).......120    340    670    670    1010   1010
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      NW     NW     NW     W      W
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     7      9      9      9      10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      3      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION........5      10     18     18     25     27
LVORI.............6      4      3      3      2      2
CWR...............50     60     60     60     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...34
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130618.JACKS.01/MOB








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