Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 290916
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRESCO COMPLEX FIRE...CRESCO COMPLEX SITL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
516 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0512 EDT ON APRIL 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK OFF THE CAROLINA COAST TODAY,REMAINING
TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR AREA. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD
DOWN FROM THE NORTH FOR SATURDAY.ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
TOWARDS THE REGION FROM THE MIDWESTERN STATES, BRINGING UNSETTLED WEATHER
TO THE AREA LATE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND PATCHY DRIZZLE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............100 85  87  89  91  93  96  98  100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  42  43  45  47  49  50  51  52  52  52  52
RH..................98  88  85  85  82  82  82  80  79  79  78  77
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......6   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....                            10  10
CWR.................40  30  30  30  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  30  30  30  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN AND PATCHY
                    DRIZZLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................60 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............100    100    93     86     79     72
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RAIN   DRZL
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51     48     46     45     43     42
RH..................77     77     76     77     78     80
20 FT WIND..........SE 3   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5             5      5
CWR.................60     60     50     30     20     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).....60     60     50     30     20     20
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............65     67     66     66     65     71
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................42     44     48     53     57     56
RH..................80     80     67     60     50     52
20 FT WIND..........NE 1   NE 2   E 3    SE 5   SE 5   S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....       5      5
CWR.................10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...OHARA
REQUESTED BY...JOHN HINTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160429.CRESC.01/PHI


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