Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 291546
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD RIDGE II...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
946 AM MDT SUN MAR 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0925 MDT ON MARCH 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL KEEP SKIES
SUNNY AND DRY THIS MORNING...WITH INCREASING MID LEVEL CLOUD THIS
AFTERNOON...PARTLY CLOUDY AND DRY AGAIN MONDAY...THEN INCREASING CLOUD
AND WIND ON TUESDAY WITH LOW END CHANCES FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S TODAY...WARMING TO
THE LOWER 60S MONDAY...MID 60S TUESDAY. WINDS BECOMING WEST SOUTHWEST
TO WEST AT THE SFC 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY...INCREASING OUT OF THE WEST SOUTHWEST TUESDAY TO 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...50 MPH BY THE EVENING.
MIN RH WILL DROP FROM AROUND 50 PERCENT NOW TO THE MID AND UPPER TEENS
THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE RISING TO BETWEEN 70 AND 80 PERCENT TONIGHT.
MONDAY...MIN RH WILL REMAIN SIMILAR TO THOSE OF TODAY...PERHAPS INCREASING
A COUPLE OF PERCENT TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRAUN

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...INCREASING MID CLOUD THIS AFTERNOON
                    (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-59.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 9-13 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 22 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (41200-90800 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300-2300 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (43000-91300 KNOT-FT).

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH EARLY...BECOMING 20 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (53300-98200 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 12 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MUCH COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAUN
REQUESTED BY...M  WOODS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150329.BALDR.01/RIW





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