Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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FNUS71 KRNK 311441
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR WHITE SULPHUR PILES...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1041 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SMOKE MANAGEMENT WILL BE PROBLEMATIC TODAY AS WINDS WILL BECOME
MORE EASTERLY AND ACT TO PUSH SMOKE BACK TO THE WEST. THIS LOOKS
TO AFFECT AT LEAST THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE GREENBRIER RESORT
WITH SMOKE. THERE WILL ALSO BE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON TO CONTEND WITH...AND RAIN ON THE FIRE MAY CAUSE
EXCESSIVE SMOKE PRODUCTION.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS LATE.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............34     21     22     42
WEATHER COV.........       ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                     SCTTRD
TEMP................73     77     80     82
RH..................60     50     45     43
20 FT WIND..........NE 2   NE 2   NE 3   E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........3200   5100   6500   7500
TRANSPORT WIND......NE 7   E 7    E 5    S 3
CWR.................0      20     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............55     65     60     57     58     65
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV............SCTTRD
TEMP................81     75     69     66     64     63
RH..................48     60     73     81     86     88
20 FT WIND..........E 4    E 2    E 2    E 2    E 2    NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........6300   3800   2100   900    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......SE 5   NE 9   NE 6   NE 2   NW 2   NE 2
CWR.................30     20     20     20     20     10

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 6 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............62     47     49     50     52     54
WEATHER COV.........PATCHY                      S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                            S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................60     65     71     75     79     81
RH..................98     89     71     60     53     49
20 FT WIND..........NE 1   NE 0   E 1    E 2    SE 2   SE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....                            5      10
MIX HGT (FT)........400    600    2800   4600   6000   6700
TRANSPORT WIND......NE 1   N 1    E 6    SE 8   SE 6   SE 5
CWR.................10     10     10     10     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...SPORER
REQUESTED BY...PATRICIA FELTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160531.WHITE.01/RNK


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