Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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FNUS71 KRNK 211414
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR YADKIN RIVER...NC STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1014 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTH OFF THE COAST AND COMBINE WITH COLD AIR
MOVING INTO THE REGION TO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. INDICATIONS ARE THAT WINDS WILL NOT
GO CALM OVERNIGHT AND SOME GRADIENT FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH A BRIEF
GUST POSSIBLE INTO EARLY TONIGHT.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5
                    TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25MPH THIS AFTERNOON
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 16 TO 18
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............35     39     44
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64     68     68
RH..................53     45     41
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 6    NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)........4000   5400   5500
TRANSPORT WIND......W 13   W 17   NW 18
CWR.................10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. BRIEF GUST TO 20MPH EARLY.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 24 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 14
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............41     37     53     49     45     44
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................65     59     55     52     50     49
RH..................46     55     61     66     68     70
20 FT WIND..........NW 6   NW 5   NW 5   NW 5   NW 4   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........5100   4400   3200   2300   2000   1200
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 21  NW 23  NW 24  NW 23  N 21   N 16
CWR.................10     10     10     10     10     10

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25MPH WITH MAX
                    GUST TO 35MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTH 17
                    TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............43     40     38     37     35     33
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................47     45     51     56     59     60
RH..................75     78     63     53     47     45
20 FT WIND..........NW 5   NW 6   NW 7   NW 8   NW 9   NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     20     20     35     25
MIX HGT (FT)........600    300    1900   3000   3700   3800
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 10  NW 7   N 17   N 23   N 21   N 21
CWR.................10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...SPORER
REQUESTED BY...MATT WINDSOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.YADKI.01/RNK



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