Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Seattle/Tacoma, WA

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000
FNUS76 KSEW 302348
FWSSEW

SPOT FORECAST FOR PARADISE...NPS OLYMPIC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
448 PM PDT THU JUL 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1635 PDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SEATTLE.

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR A DRY AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS IN EFFECT
ABOVE 2000 FEET UNTIL 10 PM PDT SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIR MASS ACCOMPANIED BY POOR NIGHTTIME
HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ACTIVE FIRE
BEHAVIOR THROUGH SATURDAY. IN ADDITION...THE UPPER PORTIONS OF
THE FIRE WILL FEEL THE EFFECTS OF UNSTABLE AIR ALOFT...SO THIS
WILL BE A CATALYST TO EVEN MORE ACTIVE FIRE BEHAVIOR ABOVE 2000
FEET ELEVATION.

FORECAST FOR 20 FOOT WIND SPEED (VALLEYS
AND RIDGE TOPS) ARE 10 MINUTE AVERAGES REFLECTING RAWS WINDS.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR (>0.25")........0%.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55 IN THE VALLEY BOTTOM...63-67 ABOVE THE NIGHTTIME
                    INVERSION.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT IN THE VALLEY BOTTOM...AROUND 38 PERCENT
                    ABOVE THE NIGHTTIME INVERSION.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-4 MPH AROUND SUNSET.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT DOWNVALLEY DRIFT AFTER SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........MID-LEVEL....5 OR MODERATE.
                    HIGH-LEVEL...5 OR MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR (>0.25")........0%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS UP TO 3 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MID-LEVEL....5 OR MODERATE.
                    HIGH-LEVEL...5 OR MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR (>0.25")........0%.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54 IN THE VALLEY BOTTOM...58-62 ABOVE THE NIGHTTIME
                    INVERSION.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT IN THE VALLEY BOTTOM...AROUND 42 PERCENT
                    ABOVE THE NIGHTTIME INVERSION.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-4 MPH AROUND SUNSET.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT DOWNVALLEY DRIFT AFTER SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........MID-LEVEL....5 OR MODERATE.
                    HIGH-LEVEL...5 OR MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR (>0.25")........0%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS UP TO 3 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MID-LEVEL....5 OR MODERATE.
                    HIGH-LEVEL...5 OR MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

$$

FORECASTER...HANER
REQUESTED BY...TF KENNY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150730.PARAD.01/SEW



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