Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FNUS74 KSJT 191719
FWSSJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DISPATCH TEST...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1119 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON JANUARY 19.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 325-944-3030 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...

BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH THROUGH
5 PM. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL TEMPORARILY FALL TO AROUND 14
MPH EARLY THIS EVENING BUT INCREASE TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
AROUND 9 PM. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 30 PERCENT
AROUND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND 25 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 20 MPH WILL GUST TO 28 MPH MID MORNING FRIDAY.

BREEZY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
...WITH WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH
ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH SATURDAY...AND BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH ON SUNDAY. DESPITE
THE HIGHER WIND SPEEDS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN IN THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 19 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 21
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH INCREASING TO
                    15 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1200-2800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 36
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2200-47300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT /79500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...EXCELLENT /120500 KNOT-FT/ IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (40300
                    KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.

TIME (CST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........4      9      16
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
LAL.............1      1      1
TEMP............64     69     69
RH..............41     31     30
20 FT WIND......SW 21  SW 22  SW 17
20 FT WIND GUST.35     35     30
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   2600   2000
MIXING WIND......SW 33  SW 35  SW 28
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4
SDSPL KT-FT/100080     116    75

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3200-15700 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........21     23     25     27     29     31
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
TEMP............62     54     51     50     49     47
RH..............36     48     54     56     61     65
20 FT WIND......SW 12  SW 13  SW 14  SW 14  SW 15  SW 15
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     25     25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....400    300    300    300    300    300
MIXING WIND......SW 16  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 16  SW 16
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      5      5      5
SDSPL KT-FT/100016     8      4      4      4      3

$$
FORECASTER...DECKER
REQUESTED BY...MPETERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700560.0/SJT



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