Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA

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000
FNUS76 KSTO 201539
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORMAN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
839 AM PDT SAT SEP 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0752 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SOUTHWEST OF THE FIRE SITE WILL BE MOVING
NORTHEAST INTO NEVADA TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHIFTING WINDS TO THE FIRE SITE ALTHOUGH THEY WILL NOT BE
OVERLY STRONG. SATELLITE SHOWS SOME CLOUD COVER FORMING NORTHEAST OF
THE LOW OVER THE FIRE SITE. MODEL FORECASTS LAST NIGHT AND THIS
MORNING SUGGEST SOME LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FIRE SITE
OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING...HOWEVER WE DO NOT EXPECT WETTING
RAIN OVER THE FIRE SITE BUT HIGHER HUMIDITY IS LIKELY. ANY
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
EAST OF THE FIRE SITE TODAY AND SUNDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH AFTER 1100 AND INTO
                    THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH THIS MORNING...
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER
                    NOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST UP TO 6 MPH THIS MORNING...SOUTHWEST UP TO
                    6 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    LIGHT SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF SMOKE
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....WEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST UP
                    TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   RIDGETOP.........GRADUALLY SHIFTING WINDS FROM THE WEST TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AND THEN SOUTH BY MORNING. 5-10 MPH
                    THIS EVENING WITH WEST WINDS...THEN UP TO 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT WITH THE SHIFTING WINDS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 100-200 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN VARIABLE
                    LESS THAN 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST UP TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST TO WEST UP TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


FORECASTER...JHM
REQUESTED BY...BOB KAFKA
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140920.MORMA.01/STO

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