Suppression Forecast
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000
FNUS72 KTAE 171306
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR C87 BURN...JACKSON GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
906 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY IS AROUND 50
PERCENT AND ARE AROUND 60 PERCENT TOMORROW. COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MAKE BURNING DIFFICULT BECAUSE OF THE HIGHER POTENTIAL
FUEL MOISTURE AND MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO CONTROL BECAUSE OF THE
LIGHTNING THREAT.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG THIS MORNING WILL BE POSSIBLE
AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 13
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSIONS.........AROUND 63.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........50     57     57     64     54
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............80     85     88     89     88
RH..............82     69     63     61     62
20 FT WIND......SW 2   W 5    SW 6   SW 7   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15
TRANSPORT WINDS.SW 3   SW 7   SW 7   SW 10  SW 11

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSIONS.........AROUND 10.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........54     43     43     42     41     41
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............87     85     80     78     77     76
RH..............64     67     82     92     98     100
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 5   SW 4   SW 3   SW 2   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10
TRANSPORT WINDS.SW 11  SW 12  SW 12  SW 9   SW 7   SW 6

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSIONS.........AROUND 72.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........52     63     63     70     77     77
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............76     75     84     90     91     92
RH..............100    100    76     59     53     53
20 FT WIND......SW 2   W 2    W 4    W 5    SW 5   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15
TRANSPORT WINDS.SW 6   SW 7   SW 7   SW 9   SW 11  SW 11

$$
FORECASTER...KATIE MOORE
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140817.C87BU.01/TAE





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