Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 312235
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
434 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011130-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
434 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS EVENING IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA...
                AFTER MIDNIGHT IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION TONIGHT
IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM.  WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE HALF INCH WILL BE LIKELY WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS APPROACHING AN INCH POSSIBLE IN A FEW AREAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT SUNDAY WILL PRODUCE
GUSTS TO NEAR 35 MPH AT TIMES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA. THE STRONG
WINDS AND DRIER AIR WORKING ITS WAY INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. HOWEVER...THESE SAME AREAS
WILL RECEIVE RAINFALL TONIGHT...AND THIS WILL MORE THAN LIKELY
LIMIT THE THREAT OVERALL.

THE POTENTIAL FOR WINTRY WEATHER WITH SOME IMPACTS REMAINS WITH
THE NEXT FRONT AND UPPER STORM SYSTEM FORECAST TO SWEEP ACROSS
THE PLAINS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY IN THE
DETAILS REMAINS HIGH...SO CHECK BACK FOR UPDATES TO THE FORECAST
AS THIS TIME GETS CLOSER.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





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