Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS

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HURRICANE JIMENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 145W       34  3   3( 6)   4(10)   2(12)   3(15)   1(16)   1(17)

20N 145W       34  3   8(11)  20(31)  14(45)  17(62)   4(66)   1(67)
20N 145W       50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   8(12)  13(25)   3(28)   1(29)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   1(11)   X(11)

25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   4(18)
25N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)

25N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON






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