Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 192352
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
652 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 631 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

THE MAJOR OPERATIONAL IMPACTS DURING THIS TAF PERIOD ARE RELATED
TO THE CIGS AND VIS. WITH NO MAJOR AIRMASS CHANGE OVER THE NEXT
12-18 HRS EXPECTED, CURRENT FORECAST IS CONCERNED WITH THE LOWER
VIS AND CIGS WORKING INTO TERMINALS BY EARLY MORNING BEFORE
LIFTING BY MID MORNING TIME FRAME. CURRENTLY, MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS IS NOT RESTRICTING PLANNING OPS BUT THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL THAT MAY WORK ITS WAY BACK INTO THE TAF BUT RIGHT NOW
CONFIDENCE IS ON THE LOWER END THAT ACTUAL CONDITIONS WILL DEGRADE
TO THE MVFR/IFR LEVEL. AS WE PROGRESS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD,
THERE ARE SOME SMALL CHANCES FOR GENERAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO WORK INTO THE AREA MAKING IT TO THE I-70
CORRIDOR MAINLY AFTER 18Z. AGAIN, CONFIDENCE IS LOW RELATED TO THIS
ACTIVITY DEVELOPING AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE AREA. TIMING
WILL BE A KEY FACTOR AS WE APPROACH THE LAST 6 HRS OF THE TAF
PERIOD.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          724 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  180/10 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 608 PM):        200FT  176/17 MPH
                                      400FT  172/21 MPH
                                      600FT  173/22 MPH
                                      800FT  173/21 MPH
                                     1000FT  177/20 MPH
                                     1500FT  181/25 MPH
                                     2000FT  195/26 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 175/13 MPH
                                       45FT  175/16 MPH
                                      204FT  176/18 MPH
                                      485FT  176/19 MPH
                                      905FT  177/19 MPH
                                     1447FT  177/19 MPH
                                     2104FT  178/19 MPH
                                     2835FT  180/19 MPH
                                     3647FT  210/17 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 181/15 MPH
                                       39FT  181/20 MPH
                                      200FT  181/23 MPH
                                      480FT  181/24 MPH
                                      895FT  181/25 MPH
                                     1439FT  181/25 MPH
                                     2092FT  181/25 MPH
                                     2825FT  186/22 MPH
                                     3633FT  215/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 183/15 MPH
                                       42FT  184/21 MPH
                                      202FT  184/24 MPH
                                      479FT  184/27 MPH
                                      890FT  181/25 MPH
                                     1439FT  181/25 MPH
                                     2092FT  181/25 MPH
                                     2825FT  186/22 MPH
                                     3633FT  215/18 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  3137 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        708 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  210/07 MPH
                    9 AM  220/09 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$







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