River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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839
FGUS51 KTAR 101613
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1107 AM EST Sat Dec 10 2016
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.49 ft at Dec-10 10:16 am
:
.ER ATTN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.5
.E2 :1211:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E3 :1212:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.4/     3.4
.E4 :1213:/     3.4/     3.4
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.04 ft at Dec-10 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     2.0/     2.0
.E2 :1211:/     2.0/     2.0/     1.9/     1.9
.E3 :1212:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9
.E4 :1213:/     1.9/     1.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.18/ 0.20/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.03 ft at Dec-10 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     2.0/     2.0
.E2 :1211:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9
.E3 :1212:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8
.E4 :1213:/     1.8/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.17/ 0.19/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.55 ft at Dec-10 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     2.4/     2.4
.E2 :1211:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4
.E3 :1212:/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3
.E4 :1213:/     2.3/     2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.09/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.11/ 0.20/ 0.22/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.08 ft at Dec-10 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     1.1/     1.1
.E2 :1211:/     1.1/     1.1/     1.1/     1.1
.E3 :1212:/     1.1/     1.0/     1.0/     1.0
.E4 :1213:/     1.0/     1.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.11/ 0.20/ 0.21/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.56 ft at Dec-10 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     3.8/     3.7
.E2 :1211:/     3.7/     3.7/     3.7/     3.7
.E3 :1212:/     3.7/     3.7/     3.7/     3.7
.E4 :1213:/     3.7/     3.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.19/ 0.20/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.73 ft at Dec-10 11:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     2.8/     2.8
.E2 :1211:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7
.E3 :1212:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7
.E4 :1213:/     2.7/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.11/ 0.20/ 0.22/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.25 ft at Dec-10 10:31 am
:
.ER WILN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     2.2/     2.2
.E2 :1211:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.1/     2.1
.E3 :1212:/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1
.E4 :1213:/     2.1/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.18/ 0.20/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.99 ft at Dec-10 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     4.9/     4.9
.E2 :1211:/     4.9/     4.9/     4.8/     4.8
.E3 :1212:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8
.E4 :1213:/     4.8/     4.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.17/ 0.23/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.87 ft at Dec-10 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     9.8/     9.8
.E2 :1211:/     9.7/     9.7/     9.6/     9.6
.E3 :1212:/     9.6/     9.6/     9.6/     9.5
.E4 :1213:/     9.5/     9.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.18/ 0.22/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 593.75 ft at Dec-10 10:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/   593.9/   593.8
.E2 :1211:/   593.8/   593.7/   593.7/   593.6
.E3 :1212:/   593.6/   593.5/   593.4/   593.4
.E4 :1213:/   593.3/   593.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.18/ 0.20/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 19.16 ft at Dec-10 10:15 am
:
.ER AVON6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/    19.1/    18.8
.E2 :1211:/    18.6/    18.5/    18.3/    18.2
.E3 :1212:/    18.1/    17.9/    17.8/    17.7
.E4 :1213:/    17.7/    17.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.17/ 0.20/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.59 ft at Dec-10 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.6
.E2 :1211:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5
.E3 :1212:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5
.E4 :1213:/     2.5/     2.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.18/ 0.20/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.75 ft at Dec-10 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     1.8/     1.7
.E2 :1211:/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7
.E3 :1212:/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7
.E4 :1213:/     1.7/     1.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.17/ 0.19/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.56 ft at Dec-10 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     6.4/     6.3
.E2 :1211:/     6.2/     6.1/     6.0/     6.0
.E3 :1212:/     5.9/     5.8/     5.8/     5.7
.E4 :1213:/     5.7/     5.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.17/ 0.20/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.12 ft at Dec-10 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     1.1/     1.1
.E2 :1211:/     1.1/     1.1/     1.1/     1.1
.E3 :1212:/     1.1/     1.1/     1.1/     1.1
.E4 :1213:/     1.0/     1.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.17/ 0.21/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 687.76 ft at Dec-10 10:45 am
:
.ER CNDN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/   687.7/   687.7
.E2 :1211:/   687.8/   687.8/   687.8/   687.8
.E3 :1212:/   687.8/   687.8/   687.8/   687.8
.E4 :1213:/   687.8/   687.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.17/ 0.21/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.42 ft at Dec-10 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.4
.E2 :1211:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4
.E3 :1212:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4/     3.5
.E4 :1213:/     3.5/     3.5
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.53 ft at Dec-10 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     4.9/     4.9
.E2 :1211:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8
.E3 :1212:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.7/     4.7
.E4 :1213:/     4.7/     4.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.13/ 0.31/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.49 ft at Dec-10 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.5
.E2 :1211:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.4/     3.4
.E3 :1212:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4/     3.3
.E4 :1213:/     3.3/     3.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.11/ 0.27/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.77 ft at Dec-10 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20161210 E DC201612101107/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1210:       ::       ::/     4.8/     4.7
.E2 :1211:/     4.7/     4.7/     4.6/     4.6
.E3 :1212:/     4.6/     4.6/     4.5/     4.5
.E4 :1213:/     4.5/     4.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.12/ 0.22/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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