Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 010515
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-OKZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/01/15 0515Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13   0500Z              JANKOT
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LOCATION...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...OUN...LUB...AMA...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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NESDIS IS CONTINUING TO ACCEPT APPEALS ON THE RETIREMENT OF THE SPENES
PRODUCT.  APPEALS CAN BE SUBMITTED BY EMAILING JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN THREAT FOR TX PANHANDLE
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST IR IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP
CONVECTION/ENHANCEMENT IN TX PANHANDLE AT THIS TIME WITH CLOUD TOPS
AS COLD AS -75C.  THE BLENDED TPW PRODUCT HAS GENERALLY SHOWN PWATS
HOVERING IN THE 1.5-1.6" RANGE AND 85H VWP`S HAVE SHOWN 30 KNOT SE FLOW
HELPING ADVECT DEEPER MOISTURE INTO THE DISCUSSION REGION. AT THIS TIME
ORIENTATION OF HEAVY RAINS IS ALONG AN AXIS FROM SWISHER TO S CARSON
COUNTY AND MANUAL SATELLITE ESTIMATE PROVIDES RATES OF .95"/30 MIN. WOULD
EXPECT RATES OF 1-2"/HR IN DEEPEST CONVECTION AND GIVEN SLOW EAST MOVEMENT
OF HEAVY RAINS THE REGION COULD SEE AN INCREASED FF THREAT. 3 HR FFG IS
GENERALLY 1.5-2.5" AND GIVEN THAT RATES ARE UPWARDS OF 2"/HR THE REGION
SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED.
.
AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0515-0815Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...EXPECT HEAVY RAINS TO CONTINUE NEXT FEW HOURS IN
TX PANHANDLE WITH RATES OF 1-2"/HR IN DEEPEST CONVECTION. ALSO ANTICIPATE
LL FLOW TO BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY TOWARDS END OF OUTLOOK PERIOD WHICH
MAY HELP INCREASE DEEP MOISTURE TRANSPORT HELPING REDEVELOP SOME OF THE
CONVECTION ON THE SW FLANK.

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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3623 9988 3412 9979 3394 10249 3596 10263
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NNNN



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