Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 230837
TCMEP3

HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0900 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 105.7W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 280SE 220SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 105.7W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 105.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.6N 107.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.3N 109.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.9N 111.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.6N 113.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.9N 116.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 21.3N 120.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 24.1N 125.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 105.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





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