Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 222329
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI MAY 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A tropical wave is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern
tip of Baja California.  Environmental conditions appear conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next few days
while it moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

An area of low pressure located about 1600 miles southeast of the
Big Island of Hawaii has become a little better defined today.
Development of this system is possible during the next day or
two while the low remains stationary.  After that time, development
appears less likely due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


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