Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 250519 AAC
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1119 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014

.AVIATION...
DEEPENING LEE-SIDE TROUGH DURING THIS FORECAST WILL RESULT IN
INCREASED SOUTHERLY WINDS ON CHRISTMAS DAY. SPEEDS WILL PICKUP
AFTER MID MORNING WITH 18016G26KT UNTIL SUNSET...THEN 15-20 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT. THE STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALSO TAP ONTO GULF
MOISTURE AND TRANSPORT IT NORTH QUICKLY OVERNIGHT AS THE LLJ
PEAKS 40-45 KNOTS. EXPECTING VFR SKIES UNTIL 26/05-06Z...THEN
MVFR CIGS OVC015 AT KACT AND OVC022 OVER THE METROPLEX. IN THE
KDFW EXTENDED...WE WILL BRING CIGS DOWN TO OVC013 WITH A POTENTIAL
FOR IFR CIGS AROUND 26/12Z. 75

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 908 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014/

TWAS THE NIGHT BEFORE CHRISTMAS AND ALL WAS QUIET ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS. HOWEVER...ITS BEING REPORTED BY THE CARIBOU MAINE NWS
OFFICE THAT THEIR 88D RADAR IS PICKING UP A STRANGE MOVING ECHO
OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC AND THAT IT IS HEADED FOR THE EAST COAST.

AS FOR NORTH TEXAS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHEAST MEXICO
WAS MOVING EAST AND WILL ALLOW LEE-SIDE TROUGHING TO DEEPEN AND
TAKE CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER FOR CHRISTMAS DAY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO BACK OVERNIGHT WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH
BY MIDDAY CHRISTMAS. WE WILL LIKELY SEE GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. WITH
DEWPOINTS HANGING LOW DURING THE DAY...THE FIRE DANGER WILL
INCREASE OVER THE WESTERN COUNTIES DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY...AND WE WILL LIKELY ISSUE A GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
TOMORROW FOR THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS. FOR THIS
UPDATE...WE ADJUSTED THIS EVENINGS HOURLY GRIDS AND ADDED SOME
HIGH CLOUDS ON CHRISTMAS.

THERE IS NO NEW MODEL INFORMATION CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL FOR
WINTRY PRECIPITATION NEXT TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AFTER ARCTIC AIR
SPILLS INTO THE STATE. HOWEVER...THIS POTENTIAL HAS BEEN ADVERTISED
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL MODEL RUNS AND WE ARE DUE FOR ANOTHER BOUT
OF WINTER PRECIPITATION. 75

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  35  63  49  64  46 /   0   0   5  10  30
WACO, TX              32  64  49  65  50 /   0   0   5  10  30
PARIS, TX             32  61  45  59  49 /   0   0   5  20  60
DENTON, TX            32  63  48  61  43 /   0   0   5  10  30
MCKINNEY, TX          32  62  48  61  46 /   0   0   5  10  30
DALLAS, TX            36  63  50  63  48 /   0   0   5  10  30
TERRELL, TX           33  63  49  63  51 /   0   0   5  10  40
CORSICANA, TX         34  63  50  66  53 /   0   0   5  20  40
TEMPLE, TX            32  64  49  67  52 /   0   0   5  10  30
MINERAL WELLS, TX     31  64  45  64  39 /   0   0   5   5  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

75/




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