Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 021658
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1158 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015

.AVIATION...
THE NEXT 30 HOURS OF THE FORECAST WILL BE PRETTY SIMILAR TO THE
LAST 30 HOURS. EXPECT MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS AT THE METROPLEX AND
WACO TAF SITES. ISOLATED AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS
EAST TEXAS. OTHERWISE...EXPECT CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES...EXCEPT
FOR POSSIBLY A FEW HOURS OF MVFR STRATUS AT WACO BETWEEN 13Z AND
16Z.

58

&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 310 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015/
A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER SOUTHEAST
TEXAS TODAY AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS.
MOISTURE AND WEAK LARGE SCALE LIFT WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...FOCUSED PRIMARILY ON THE SEA BREEZE FRONT. SOME OF
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REACH THE SOUTHEAST ZONES BY LATE AFTERNOON.
AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM IS EVEN POSSIBLE AS FAR NORTH AS THE
INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
BRIEF DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS.

THE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK SHOULD BE HOT AND GENERALLY
RAIN-FREE WITH HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S AND LOWS IN THE
70S.

SOME LOW RAIN CHANCES SHOULD RETURN TO NORTH TEXAS BY THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK ONCE THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS TO THE WEST AND A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE RED RIVER. THE ECMWF AND GFS SOLUTIONS
BOTH BRING THE FRONT THROUGH NORTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY.
THE ECMWF SOLUTION KEEPS THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST AND BRINGS SOME DECENT RAIN CHANCES TO THE REGION
THURSDAY. THE GFS KEEPS NORTH TEXAS MORE ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY
OF THE UPPER RIDGE AND HAS MUCH LESS PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT.

79



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  95  75  96  77  96 /   5   5   5   5   5
WACO, TX              95  72  95  74  97 /  10  10  10   5  10
PARIS, TX             94  70  95  72  94 /  10   5  10   5   5
DENTON, TX            94  73  94  74  97 /   5   5   5   5   5
MCKINNEY, TX          94  72  95  74  96 /   5   5   5   5   5
DALLAS, TX            95  76  96  77  97 /   5   5   5   5   5
TERRELL, TX           94  73  95  75  97 /  10   5  10   5   5
CORSICANA, TX         94  73  96  74  97 /  10  10  10   5  10
TEMPLE, TX            93  70  94  72  95 /  20  10  20   5  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     96  70  95  72  97 /   5   5   5   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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