Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
620 FNUS73 KAPX 020900 FWSAPX Spot Forecast for Allen Road SVE RX...USDA Forest Service National Weather Service Gaylord MI 500 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...Clouds will be on the increase at the burn site late today, but no rain is expected until tonight. Winds will be light this morning, becoming northeast by ignition, then east to southeast and a touch gusty this afternoon. Humidity levels will not be as dry as yesterday. A chance of rain showers tonight, will give way to likely showers on Friday. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Max temperature.....Around 62. Min humidity........44 percent. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph late in the morning, then shifting to the southeast 6 to 7 mph late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....North around 7 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2000-3200 ft AGL. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor (139.0). TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........55 53 35 16 20 26 68 83 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............54 56 59 61 62 62 62 61 RH..............59 55 49 48 46 46 44 46 20 ft wind dir..NE NE E E E SE SE SE 20 ft wind spd..6 6 8 8 8 7 7 7 20 ft wind gust.13 13 16 16 16 18 18 18 Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.5 2.7 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.6 2.2 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Transp wind dir.N N E SE SE SE SE SE Transp wind spd.7 7 6 7 8 8 9 9 Vrate kt-ft.....139 176 153 219 257 240 236 203 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain showers early in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms late in the evening. Patchy fog early in the morning. Min temperature.....Around 45. Max humidity........97 percent. 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the evening. Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 12 mph. Mixing height.......500-1800 ft AGL. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor (38.0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........75 81 78 82 76 84 84 75 66 74 82 90 Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Temp............59 56 53 50 48 47 47 47 47 48 49 49 RH..............49 53 64 71 77 79 79 79 83 86 89 97 20 ft wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 ft wind spd..7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 20 ft wind gust.17 17 17 15 15 15 10 10 10 9 9 9 Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.5 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Haines index....4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Transp wind dir.SE E E E E E E SE SE S SE S Transp wind spd.10 12 12 12 10 10 9 12 9 8 9 8 Vrate kt-ft.....185 170 131 112 56 53 48 96 42 38 44 38 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain showers early in the morning, then rain showers likely early in the morning. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........59 percent. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 7 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the morning. Transport winds.....South 9 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest 12 to 14 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......400-2200 ft AGL increasing to 2500-2600 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor (40.0). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........83 70 82 90 94 90 Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC S CHC Temp............49 53 60 65 67 68 RH..............97 91 66 62 61 63 20 ft wind dir..SE SE S SW SW NW 20 ft wind spd..5 5 7 8 8 8 20 ft wind gust.8 8 12 14 14 14 Mix hgt (ft)....400 500 1000 1700 1800 2500 Haines index....2 3 3 3 5 5 Transport wind..S 9 S 9 S 10 SW 12 W 10 NW 13 Vrate kt-ft.....40 46 105 190 188 332 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR $$ Forecaster...JZ Requested by...Corey Smith Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412949.1/APX .DELDT 05/02/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL corey.smith@usda.gov