Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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892
FNUS51 KOKX 080737
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front followed by a cold front pushes through today.
A wetting rain is likely this morning. The winds increase
this afternoon with gusts approaching 20 kt at times. Minimum
RHs will range from 35 to 45 percent further west today, to
50 to 75 percent further east. Minimum RHs on Thursday will
be generally 50 to 65 percent with another wetting rain
becoming likely late Thursday into Thursday night.


NYZ212-090745-
New York City-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            70
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+7)      59 (+1)      72
RH % (24h trend)      42 (+8)      73 (-18)     53
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 5-9        W 7-11 G19   N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 8-12 G21  NW 3-7       NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.13         0.00         0.10
Precip Duration       2                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            5 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5720                      5220
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 25         NW  9        NE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     125840       0            36540
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-090745-
Long Island-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           0            60
Temp (24h trend)      74 (+1)      51 (-2)      69
RH % (24h trend)      63 (+21)     93 (-2)      58
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 6-10 G18   W 5-9        NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 8-12 G19  Lgt/Var      NE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.14         0.00         0.08
Precip Duration       4                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            6 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1010         170          4930
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 23        W  9         NE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     20200        1360         34510
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  1-8 Strikes  No Tstms
Haines Index          3            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-090745-
Lower Hudson Valley-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           0            70
Temp (24h trend)      82 (+5)      52 (-3)      69
RH % (24h trend)      41 (+14)     80 (-15)     57
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7 G17    W 4-8 G18    N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 7-11 G21   Lgt/Var      NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.19         0.00         0.08
Precip Duration       5                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            6 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)10720                     6070
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 29         W 16         NE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     268000       0            42490
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-090745-
Western Passaic-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            70
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+5)      54 (-2)      69
RH % (24h trend)      39 (+11)     75 (-21)     57
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 4-8 G18   W 5-9 G19    N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 7-11 G22   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.12         0.00         0.10
Precip Duration       2                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            2 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9700                      5760
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 31         W 20         NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     261900       0            46080
LAL                   9-15 Strikes No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            5            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-090745-
Eastern Passaic-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            70
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+5)      57 (-2)      71
RH % (24h trend)      39 (+12)     70 (-21)     53
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 3-7       W 4-8 G18    N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 7-11 G21   Lgt/Var      NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.14         0.00         0.09
Precip Duration       2                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            2 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9750         300          5710
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 29         NW  9        NE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     243750       2400         39970
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-090745-
Western Bergen-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            70
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+6)      55 (-2)      70
RH % (24h trend)      39 (+11)     72 (-21)     54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        W 4-8 G18    N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 7-11 G21  Lgt/Var      NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.17         0.00         0.09
Precip Duration       3                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            5 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9890         360          5930
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 30         NW  9        NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     257140       2880         47440
LAL                   9-15 Strikes No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-090745-
Eastern Bergen-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            70
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+4)      58 (0)       71
RH % (24h trend)      39 (+10)     70 (-19)     53
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 4-8        W 5-9 G18    N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 8-12 G21  Lgt/Var      NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.17         0.00         0.08
Precip Duration       3                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            5 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9940         80           5780
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 29         NW  9        NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     248500       640          46240
LAL                   9-15 Strikes No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-090745-
Western Essex-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            70
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+4)      58 (-1)      71
RH % (24h trend)      39 (+11)     71 (-19)     53
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 3-7       W 5-9 G18    N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 8-12 G21   Lgt/Var      NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.10         0.00         0.09
Precip Duration       2                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            2 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9580         70           5460
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 29         NW  8        NE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     239500       490          38220
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-090745-
Eastern Essex-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            70
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+3)      60 (+1)      72
RH % (24h trend)      40 (+11)     66 (-21)     53
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 3-7       W 6-10 G19   N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 9-13 G21  Lgt/Var      NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.10         0.00         0.09
Precip Duration       2                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            2 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9460         20           5360
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 29         NW  9        NE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     236500       160          37520
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-090745-
Western Union-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            70
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+3)      58 (-1)      72
RH % (24h trend)      40 (+12)     71 (-20)     55
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 3-7       W 6-10 G19   N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 9-13 G22   Lgt/Var      NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.07         0.00         0.12
Precip Duration       2                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            11 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9270         30           5310
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 29         NW  8        NE  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     231750       210          31860
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            5            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-090745-
Eastern Union-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            70
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+2)      59 (0)       72
RH % (24h trend)      40 (+13)     70 (-17)     54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 3-7       W 6-10 G19   N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 9-13 G22  Lgt/Var      NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.08         0.00         0.11
Precip Duration       2                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            2 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9330         40           5160
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 29         NW  9        NE  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     233250       320          30960
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-090745-
Hudson-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            70
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+5)      61 (+2)      71
RH % (24h trend)      40 (+9)      67 (-21)     51
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 4-8        W 6-10 G19   N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 7-11 G21  Lgt/Var      NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.11         0.00         0.09
Precip Duration       2                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            2 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9310         50           5330
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 28         NW  9        NE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     223440       400          37310
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-090745-
Northern Fairfield-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           10           60
Temp (24h trend)      78 (+1)      53 (-1)      68
RH % (24h trend)      55 (+31)     82 (-13)     60
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      W 3-7        N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10 G17  Lgt/Var      NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.21         0.02         0.06
Precip Duration       4            0            3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   11 AM
Precip End            Continuing   8 PM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6740                      5850
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 22         W 16         NE  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     128060       0            29250
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  No Tstms
Haines Index          3            4            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-090745-
Southern Fairfield-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           0            70
Temp (24h trend)      79 (+4)      55 (+1)      68
RH % (24h trend)      56 (+23)     81 (-14)     59
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        W 3-7        N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10      Lgt/Var      NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.16         0.00         0.07
Precip Duration       4                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            6 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1280         90           5510
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 17        W  9         NE  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     19200        720          33060
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  No Tstms
Haines Index          3            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-090745-
Northern New Haven-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           10           60
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-1)      53 (0)       70
RH % (24h trend)      62 (+38)     84 (-8)      59
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        Lgt/Var      N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10 G17  Lgt/Var      NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.19         0.01         0.05
Precip Duration       4            0            3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   11 AM
Precip End            Continuing   8 PM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4010                      6480
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 20        SW 14        N  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     68170        0            32400
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  No Tstms
Haines Index          3            4            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-090745-
Southern New Haven-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           10           60
Temp (24h trend)      71 (-4)      53 (0)       69
RH % (24h trend)      71 (+36)     90 (-2)      60
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        Lgt/Var      N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 6-10 G17   Lgt/Var      NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.20         0.01         0.06
Precip Duration       4            0            3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   11 AM
Precip End            Continuing   8 PM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)880          80           5790
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 18         NW  6        E  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     14080        400          28950
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  No Tstms
Haines Index          3            5            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-090745-
Northern Middlesex-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           10           60
Temp (24h trend)      72 (-6)      52 (0)       70
RH % (24h trend)      72 (+44)     90 (0)       58
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        Lgt/Var      NW 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9 G18    Lgt/Var      NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.16         0.01         0.05
Precip Duration       5            0            3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   11 AM
Precip End            Continuing   8 PM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1460         50           6320
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 18        NW  7        NE  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     23360        300          31600
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  No Tstms
Haines Index          3            4            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-090745-
Southern Middlesex-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           10           60
Temp (24h trend)      67 (-6)      52 (+1)      69
RH % (24h trend)      76 (+36)     95 (+2)      60
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9 G17    Lgt/Var      E 4-8
Precip Amount         0.20         0.01         0.06
Precip Duration       5            0            3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   11 AM
Precip End            Continuing   8 PM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1080         110          5450
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 20        W  7         E  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     18360        660          32700
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  1-8 Strikes  No Tstms
Haines Index          3            5            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-090745-
Northern New London-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           10           60
Temp (24h trend)      68 (-8)      51 (0)       71
RH % (24h trend)      77 (+42)     95 (+4)      60
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        Lgt/Var      NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 5-9 G18   Lgt/Var      NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.13         0.01         0.05
Precip Duration       6            0            3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   11 AM
Precip End            Continuing   8 PM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1300         80           6050
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 20        W  6         NE  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     22100        400          36300
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  1-8 Strikes  No Tstms
Haines Index          3            4            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-090745-
Southern New London-
337 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           10           60
Temp (24h trend)      65 (-7)      51 (+1)      69
RH % (24h trend)      81 (+35)     98 (+4)      62
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        Lgt/Var      NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 6-10       Lgt/Var      E 4-8
Precip Amount         0.15         0.01         0.06
Precip Duration       5            0            3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   11 AM
Precip End            Continuing   8 PM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1080         120          4730
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 21        W  5         E  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     19440        480          33110
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  1-8 Strikes  No Tstms
Haines Index          3            4            3

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs around 70. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$