Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
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926 FXUS64 KAMA 262354 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 654 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 ...New AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Southwest winds are expected to pick up into the 20 to 30 mph range with higher gusts on Saturday as a surface low intensifies over southeast Colorado into southwest Kansas. The dryline is expected to push east to very near the Oklahoma state line by late in the afternoon. This dryline is expected to help thunderstorms fire by late afternoon. These storms, if they develop in our area, will quickly move east into Oklahoma. A cold front will then move across the Panhandles Saturday night and most of the area will be cooler by about 5 to 10 degrees on Sunday. An upper level low will move from Colorado on Saturday through Nebraska and into South Dakota by Sunday. A weak short wave may produce some showers in the Oklahoma Panhandle Sunday night. The flow aloft then becomes more zonal on Monday and Tuesday which will encourage lee-side cyclogenesis with southwest winds increasing into the 15 to 25 mph range by Tuesday. The southwest winds will help make Tuesday the warmest day of this forecast. The flow aloft then becomes more southwesterly by Wednesday ahead of a positively tilted upper trough moving southeast through the northern Rockies. Upper heights will also fall a little, so high temperatures may be just a shade cooler than Tuesday. A cold front moves through the Panhandles Wednesday night in association with our positively tilted trough moving into the Central High Plains. A few showers or thunderstorms will be possible, mainly across the eastern Panhandles Wednesday night into Thursday as a couple of short wave troughs move across in the southwest flow aloft. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 639 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 For the 00Z TAFs, southwest winds will diminish early this evening, then increase and become gusty once again at the terminal sites by around mid to late Saturday morning and continue through the end of this forecast cycle. 02 && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 213 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 A fire weather watch has been issued for all but the eastern column of counties in the Texas Panhandle for Saturday. Southwest winds of 20 to 30 mph with higher gusts will overspread the area by mid day. Lowest relative humidity values are expected to be in the 10 to 15 percent range. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Amarillo TX 51 79 47 76 / 0 0 0 0 Beaver OK 52 84 47 75 / 0 10 10 10 Boise City OK 45 73 40 69 / 0 10 10 10 Borger TX 54 84 49 79 / 0 0 0 0 Boys Ranch TX 51 79 45 78 / 0 0 0 0 Canyon TX 50 78 46 76 / 0 0 0 0 Clarendon TX 52 82 49 78 / 0 10 10 0 Dalhart TX 44 73 39 73 / 0 0 0 10 Guymon OK 48 79 42 73 / 0 0 10 10 Hereford TX 50 77 45 77 / 0 0 0 0 Lipscomb TX 53 84 49 78 / 0 20 10 0 Pampa TX 53 82 48 77 / 0 10 10 0 Shamrock TX 51 84 51 79 / 0 20 10 0 Wellington TX 52 85 51 80 / 10 30 20 0 && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening for TXZ001>004-006>009-011>014-016>019-317. OK...Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening for OKZ001>003. && $$ SHORT TERM...15 LONG TERM....15 AVIATION...02